44 comments
423 forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?
25%chance
5% this week
3 comments
126 forecasters
What percentage of Americans will consider AI or advancement of computers/technology to be the most important problem in January 2028?
Current estimate
14.7 % mentioning
2 comments
43 forecasters
Will the number of UFO sightings reported by the National UFO Reporting Center exceed 350 for September 2025?
65%chance
10% this week
20 comments
288 forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
25%chance
9 comments
75 forecasters
Before 2100, will AI cause the human population to fall below 5000 individuals?
2%chance
2% this week
169 comments
243 forecasters
Which of Scott Aaronson's five AI worlds will come to pass?
Futurama30%
AI-Dystopia23.7%
Singularia18.9%
8 comments
36 forecasters
What will be the share of global light vehicles sold which are zero-emission vehicles in the following years?
7 comments
73 forecasters