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$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1
8
6
6
comments
AI Pathways Tournament
10
comments
92
forecasters
What percent of global primary energy will come from nuclear fission or fusion power in the following years?
97
comments
184
forecasters
When will an AI program be better than humans at making Metaculus forecasts?
Current estimate
Mar 2032
20
comments
187
forecasters
What will global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) be in the following years?
82
comments
626
forecasters
Will humans have a sustainable off-world presence by 2100?
40%
chance
4
comments
78
forecasters
What will productivity be in the United States in the following years?
8
comments
74
forecasters
What will be total annual investment (in 2021 USD) in AI companies in the world in the listed years?
21
comments
309
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
30%
chance
2
comments
59
forecasters
Who will be the first group to land a human on Mars?
SpaceX
65%
NASA
25%
CNSA
15%
2 others
44
comments
436
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?
30%
chance
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