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$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1

8
66 comments
AI Pathways Tournament
10 comments
92 forecasters

What percent of global primary energy will come from nuclear fission or fusion power in the following years?

97 comments
184 forecasters

When will an AI program be better than humans at making Metaculus forecasts?

Current estimate
Mar 2032
20 comments
187 forecasters

What will global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) be in the following years?

82 comments
626 forecasters

Will humans have a sustainable off-world presence by 2100?

40%chance
4 comments
78 forecasters

What will productivity be in the United States in the following years?

8 comments
74 forecasters

What will be total annual investment (in 2021 USD) in AI companies in the world in the listed years?

21 comments
309 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

30%chance
2 comments
59 forecasters

Who will be the first group to land a human on Mars?

SpaceX65%
NASA25%
CNSA15%
44 comments
436 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

30%chance