0 comments
106 forecasters
Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?
5%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
10 comments
92 forecasters
What percent of global primary energy will come from nuclear fission or fusion power in the following years?
97 comments
184 forecasters
When will an AI program be better than humans at making Metaculus forecasts?
Current estimate
Jan 2032
21 comments
310 forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
30%chance
44 comments
436 forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?
30%chance
25 comments
86 forecasters
Will there be discussion in mainstream media about an AI arms race in March 2025?
resultYes