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$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1

8
44 comments
AI Pathways Tournament
0 comments
106 forecasters

Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?

5%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

🤖 The Fall AI Benchmark Tournament and MiniBench are now open!

4
0 comments
1 comment
23 forecasters

Before January 1, 2030 will any public or private space company announce plans to reach "Oumuamua"?

1%chance
0.8% this week
2 comments
95 forecasters

Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?

0.1%chance
21 comments
303 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

30%chance
0 comments
48 forecasters

By 2100, will 2 national space agencies conclude that an interstellar object in our solar system has a non-human artificial origin?

1%chance
44 comments
434 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

27%chance
25 comments
86 forecasters

Will there be discussion in mainstream media about an AI arms race in March 2025?

resultYes
15 comments
282 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?

29%chance