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$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1
8
3
3
comments
AI Pathways Tournament
🤖 The Fall AI Benchmark Tournament and MiniBench are now open!
4
0
comments
condition
CTs Policy Response After AI Catastrophe
16
forecasters
if yes
if no
CTs AI Extinction Before 2100
77%
77%
CTs AI Extinction Before 2100
30%
30%
2
3
3
comments
16
16
forecasters
Conditional Trees: AI Risk
26
comments
43
forecasters
Five years after AGI, will AI philosophical competence be solved?
11%
chance
9%
this week
20
comments
287
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
24%
chance
169
comments
243
forecasters
Which of Scott Aaronson's five AI worlds will come to pass?
Futurama
30%
AI-Dystopia
23.7%
Singularia
18.9%
2 others
27%
condition
CTs AI Admin Disempowerment Before 2030
17
forecasters
if yes
if no
CTs AI Extinction Before 2100
26%
26%
CTs AI Extinction Before 2100
5%
5%
4
1
1
comment
17
17
forecasters
Conditional Trees: AI Risk
9
comments
75
forecasters
Before 2100, will AI cause the human population to fall below 5000 individuals?
2%
chance
2%
this week
43
comments
422
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?
21%
chance
19
comments
104
forecasters
How does the level of existential risk posed by AGI depend on its arrival time?
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