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What will be the largest number of digits of π to have ever been computed by December 31, 2025?

Latest estimate

231T digits

This question is closed for forecasting.

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113

3.1k 3.1k comments

Metaculus Meta

$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1

6 6 comments

AI Pathways Tournament

97 comments

183 forecasters

When will an AI program be better than humans at making Metaculus forecasts?

Current estimate

Sep 2031

0 comments

106 forecasters

Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?

5%chance

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9 comments

40 forecasters

At the end of May 2023, will these individuals' signature be in the FLI open letter to pause giant AI experiments?

Mark Zuckerbergresult: No

Sundar Pichairesult: No

Sam Altmanresult: No

8 comments

35 forecasters

Will there be a leading AI lab with no internal safety team in the following years?

condition

Will there be a positive transition to a world with radically smarter-than-human artificial intelligence?

4 forecasters

if yes

if no

Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?

90%

Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?

4 4 comments

4 forecasters

4 comments

7 forecasters

What will be the "state of the art" for these quantum computing metrics in March, 2028?

Single-qubit relaxation time (T1) (μs)375M

Coherence time (T2) (seconds)892

2-qubit gate infidelity1.66×10⁻⁴

3 comments

19 forecasters

What will be the largest number of digits of π to have ever been computed by December 31, 2025?

Platform feature suggestions

$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1

When will an AI program be better than humans at making Metaculus forecasts?

Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?

At the end of May 2023, will these individuals' signature be in the FLI open letter to pause giant AI experiments?

Will there be a leading AI lab with no internal safety team in the following years?

Will there be a positive transition to a world with radically smarter-than-human artificial intelligence?

Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?

Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?

What will be the "state of the art" for these quantum computing metrics in March, 2028?

When will the first company with a market cap above the given figures be openly run by an AI CEO?

What will be the largest number of digits of π to have ever been computed by December 31, 2025?

Platform feature suggestions

$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1

When will an AI program be better than humans at making Metaculus forecasts?

Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?

At the end of May 2023, will these individuals' signature be in the FLI open letter to pause giant AI experiments?

Will there be a leading AI lab with no internal safety team in the following years?

Will there be a positive transition to a world with radically smarter-than-human artificial intelligence?

Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?

Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?

What will be the "state of the art" for these quantum computing metrics in March, 2028?

When will the first company with a market cap above the given figures be openly run by an AI CEO?