0 comments
81 forecasters
What will be the largest number of digits of π to have ever been computed by December 31, 2025?
Latest estimate
231T digits
This question is closed for forecasting.
9 comments
40 forecasters
At the end of May 2023, will these individuals' signature be in the FLI open letter to pause giant AI experiments?
Mark Zuckerbergresult: No
Sundar Pichairesult: No
Sam Altmanresult: No
0 comments
106 forecasters
Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?
5%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
13 comments
131 forecasters
Will an AI system be reported to have independently gained unauthorized access to another computer system before 2033?
95%chance
3 comments
52 forecasters
Will an AI system be reported to have successfully blackmailed someone for >$1000 by EOY 2028?
80%chance
97 comments
184 forecasters
When will an AI program be better than humans at making Metaculus forecasts?
Current estimate
Mar 2032