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🤖 The Fall AI Benchmark Tournament and MiniBench are now open!
4
0
comments
0
comments
29
forecasters
Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?
OVH
16%
Microsoft Azure
14%
Google Cloud
12%
1 other
Monitor AI’s Expansion Across Society With the AI Diffusion Index
5
3
3
comments
4
comments
14
forecasters
When will the first major tech company offer a university course taught primarily by AI?
Current estimate
07 Oct 2028
Contributed by the
JetBrains
community.
0
comments
2
forecasters
What percentage of problems from Long Code Arena do you estimate the top-performing AI model or agent will be able to solve by December'25?
Commit message generation
99.6
Module summarization
99.5
Library-based code generation
97.4
3 others
condition
CTs Deep Learning Revenue
19
forecasters
if yes
if no
CTs AI Extinction Before 2100
5%
5%
CTs AI Extinction Before 2100
3%
3%
1
2
2
comments
19
19
forecasters
Conditional Trees: AI Risk
Q2 AI Forecasting Benchmark Is Live! New Tools & Multi-Bot Creation
5
0
comments
5
comments
16
forecasters
By what date will an AI system demonstrate human-level accuracy in extracting data from all types of charts in documents?
Current estimate
16 Oct 2025
Contributed by the
AI 2025 Forecasting Survey
community.
0
comments
15
forecasters
What will be the best performance on SWE-bench Verified by December 31st 2025?
Current estimate
87.8 score
Q2 2025 AI Benchmarking Pro Discussion
123
123
comments
Pro Forecasters - AI Forecasting Benchmark Q2 2025
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