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Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?

7
22 comments
53
53 forecasters

FutureEval Bot Tournament Resources Page

4
2222 comments

Announcing: Epoch AI Robotics Series

8
0 comments

Announcing the 2026 Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Winners!

18
4848 comments

When will the first major tech company offer a university course taught primarily by AI?

25 Apr 2030 (23 Jan 2028 - >01 Jan 2031)

1
44 comments
14
14 forecasters
25 Apr 2030
(23 Jan 2028 - >01 Jan 2031)

Announcing: AI Outlook With JetBrains, $3,000 Prize Pool

5
33 comments

By what date will an AI system demonstrate human-level accuracy in extracting data from all types of charts in documents?

04 Jan 2027 (10 Aug 2026 - 18 Jul 2027)

2
55 comments
17
17 forecasters
04 Jan 2027
(10 Aug 2026 - 18 Jul 2027)

CTs Deep Learning Revenue โ†’ CTs AI Extinction Before 2100

1
22 comments
19
19 forecasters

How many doctorates will be awarded in various fields in 2031?

6
33 comments
5
5 forecasters

What percent of ArXiv AI publications in the calendar year 2019 will be in the subcategory โ€œComputation and Languageโ€?

16 (14.4 - 17.3)

6
77 comments
33
33 forecasters
16
(14.4 - 17.3)

Will there be more ArXiv AI publications in the โ€œComputation and Languageโ€ subcategory than in the โ€œComputer Vision and Pattern Recognitionโ€ subcategory in the calendar year 2019?

result: no

4
77 comments
53
53 forecasters
ResolvedNo

What percent of undergrads at select US universities will be enrolled in introductory ML classes?

5.03 (4.44 - 5.66)

6
66 comments
43
43 forecasters
5.03
(4.44 - 5.66)

Most useful forecastint tools/data sources

26
3333 comments

Announcing the new Higher Education Series!

4
0 comments

The next five years

5
0 comments

Deep Learning ourselves into the unknown

3
0 comments

Tournament Archive

1
0 comments

Announcing the Million Predictions Hackathon!

12
0 comments

Metaculus Talks [Recordings Now Up]

13
1818 comments

The Million Prediction Hackathon Winners

12
22 comments

Watch Recordings From Metaculus Presents

9
0 comments

Announcing Metaculusโ€™s Million Predictions Hackathon!

0 comments

๐Ÿ”ฌFRO-Casting to Support a New Research Model

10
66 comments

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ Round 2: Chinese AI Chips Tournament

10
0 comments