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🤖 The Fall AI Benchmark Tournament and MiniBench are now open!

4
0 comments
0 comments
29 forecasters

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?

OVH16%
Microsoft Azure14%
Google Cloud12%

Monitor AI’s Expansion Across Society With the AI Diffusion Index

5
33 comments
4 comments
14 forecasters

When will the first major tech company offer a university course taught primarily by AI?

Current estimate
07 Oct 2028

Contributed by the JetBrains community.

0 comments
2 forecasters

What percentage of problems from Long Code Arena do you estimate the top-performing AI model or agent will be able to solve by December'25?

Commit message generation99.6
Module summarization99.5
Library-based code generation97.4
condition

CTs Deep Learning Revenue

19 forecasters
if yes
if no

CTs AI Extinction Before 2100

5%
5%

CTs AI Extinction Before 2100

3%
3%
1
22 comments
19
19 forecasters
Conditional Trees: AI Risk

Q2 AI Forecasting Benchmark Is Live! New Tools & Multi-Bot Creation

5
0 comments
5 comments
16 forecasters

By what date will an AI system demonstrate human-level accuracy in extracting data from all types of charts in documents?

Current estimate
16 Oct 2025

Contributed by the AI 2025 Forecasting Survey community.

0 comments
15 forecasters

What will be the best performance on SWE-bench Verified by December 31st 2025?

Current estimate
87.8 score

Q2 2025 AI Benchmarking Pro Discussion

123123 comments
Pro Forecasters - AI Forecasting Benchmark Q2 2025