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0 comments
32 forecasters

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?

OVH29%
Google Cloud14.2%
Microsoft Azure14%

🤖 The Fall AI Benchmark Tournament and MiniBench are now open!

4
0 comments

Monitor AI’s Expansion Across Society With the AI Diffusion Index

5
66 comments

Contributed by the AI 2025 Forecasting Survey community.

1 comment
9 forecasters

What will be the best score on Cybench by December 31st 2025?

Current estimate
82.6%

Contributed by the JetBrains community.

0 comments
3 forecasters

What percentage of problems from Long Code Arena do you estimate the top-performing AI model or agent will be able to solve by December'25?

Commit message generation99.5
Module summarization99.5
Library-based code generation97.3
4 comments
14 forecasters

When will the first major tech company offer a university course taught primarily by AI?

Current estimate
27 Apr 2029

Q2 AI Forecasting Benchmark Is Live! New Tools & Multi-Bot Creation

5
0 comments
condition

CTs Deep Learning Revenue

19 forecasters
if yes
if no

CTs AI Extinction Before 2100

5%
5%

CTs AI Extinction Before 2100

3%
3%
1
22 comments
19
19 forecasters
Conditional Trees: AI Risk

Q2 2025 AI Benchmarking Pro Discussion

123123 comments
Pro Forecasters - AI Forecasting Benchmark 2025 Q2
5 comments
16 forecasters

By what date will an AI system demonstrate human-level accuracy in extracting data from all types of charts in documents?

Current estimate
14 Dec 2025