7 comments
23 forecasters
What will state-of-the-art top-1 accuracy on the APPS Benchmark introductory problems be from 2022 to 2025?
19 comments
141 forecasters
When will an AI be able to solve over 80% of competition-level coding problems on its first try?
Current estimate
24 May 2027
7 comments
8 forecasters
When will we know whether the Shannon capacity of a 7-cycle is equal to the Theta function of the 7-cycle?
Current estimate
2089
8 comments
30 forecasters
When will a computer program be listed as an author in journal article in the Annals of Mathematics?
Current estimate
06 Nov 2029