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6
comments
54
forecasters
If tested, would the most powerful quesion-answering AI system as of 2022-06-01 demonstrate text-based intelligence parity with human 5th graders?
Ambiguous
77
comments
94
forecasters
If tested, would GPT-3 demonstrate text-based intelligence parity with human 4th graders?
Ambiguous
57
comments
792
forecasters
Will the "silver" Turing Test be passed by 2026?
60%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.