Which of Scott Aaronson's five AI worlds will first come to pass before 2050?40173173 comments281281 forecasters
Will any conclusive evidence for extraterrestrial life, past or present, be discovered within our Solar System by 2050?20% chance569191 comments2k2k forecasters20%chance
What will be the highest average score among a selected subset of VideoGameBench on January 1, 2028?41.4% (19.4 - 67.2)21010 comments5858 forecasters41.4% (19.4 - 67.2)
When will AI complete a campaign of a WarioWare game?24 May 2027 (19 Sep 2026 - 13 Feb 2029)222 comments55 forecasters24 May 2027 (19 Sep 2026 - 13 Feb 2029)