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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
46 comments
197 forecasters

Will AI be a Time Person of the Year in 2023?

resultNo
49 comments
332 forecasters

After a (weak) AGI is created, how many months will it be before the first superintelligent AI is created?

Current estimate
36.4 months
8 comments
31 forecasters

When will a computer program be listed as an author in journal article in the Annals of Mathematics?

Current estimate
01 Jun 2029
2 comments
8 forecasters

What will be the median annual wage for computer and mathematical occupations in the United States in 2025?

Current estimate
114k $

Contributed by the AI 2025 Forecasting Survey community.

7 comments
21 forecasters

What will be the best performance on FrontierMath by December 31st 2025?

Current estimate
49.7%
4 comments
48 forecasters

When will AI be capable of getting a perfect score on the Putnam Mathematical Competition?

Current estimate
24 Jan 2028
77 comments
94 forecasters

If tested, would GPT-3 demonstrate text-based intelligence parity with human 4th graders?

Ambiguous

Computability and Complexity

16
11 comment
Metaculus Journal Archives

Elliptic Curves, Diophantine Equations, and Cryptography

12
0 comments
57 comments
792 forecasters

Will the "silver" Turing Test be passed by 2026?

60%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.