2 comments
8 forecasters
What will be the median annual wage for computer and mathematical occupations in the United States in 2025?
Current estimate
114k $
10 comments
34 forecasters
Will GPT-4 input and/or output images?
Input Yes, Output Noresult: Yes
Input Yes, Output Yesresult: No
Input No, Output Noresult: No
Contributed by the AI 2025 Forecasting Survey community.
7 comments
21 forecasters
What will be the best performance on FrontierMath by December 31st 2025?
Current estimate
56.7%
8 comments
30 forecasters
When will a computer program be listed as an author in journal article in the Annals of Mathematics?
Current estimate
06 Nov 2029
6 comments
54 forecasters
If tested, would the most powerful quesion-answering AI system as of 2022-06-01 demonstrate text-based intelligence parity with human 5th graders?
Ambiguous
77 comments
94 forecasters
If tested, would GPT-3 demonstrate text-based intelligence parity with human 4th graders?
Ambiguous