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US Democracy Index

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Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?

SMEE44%

Naura35%

AMEC30%

condition

9 forecasters

10 comments

18 forecasters

Will a developed country experience >20% yearly GDP growth before 2031?

2%chance

2 comments

30 forecasters

If China launches a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2035, how much will China's real GDP (PPP) grow over the next 4 quarters?

Current estimate

-4.68%

41 comments

136 forecasters

What will be the China-to-USA GDP ratio in 2050?

Current estimate

1.18 ratio

10 comments

14 forecasters

Will the UK achieve an average annual GDP growth rate of 2.5% over the current parliamentary term?

16%chance

3 comments

10 forecasters

What will be the percentage change of international trade in goods volume between OECD Member countries and the People's Republic of China in 2029 compared to 2019, adjusted for inflation?

Latest estimate

4.85

This question is closed for forecasting.

4 comments

12 forecasters

Will California have a lower GDP per capita than at most nine countries in the world in 2050?

55%chance

15 comments

23 forecasters

What will real GDP growth be in the United States in the following years?

5 comments

2 forecasters

What will be the Trade Openness Index for China in the following years?

204046.3

2030>38

202537.1

Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?

Chinese volume production using EUV by 2033?

Chinese GDP Greater than US by 2041?

Chinese GDP Greater than US by 2041?

Will a developed country experience >20% yearly GDP growth before 2031?

If China launches a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2035, how much will China's real GDP (PPP) grow over the next 4 quarters?

What will be the China-to-USA GDP ratio in 2050?

Will the UK achieve an average annual GDP growth rate of 2.5% over the current parliamentary term?

What will be the percentage change of international trade in goods volume between OECD Member countries and the People's Republic of China in 2029 compared to 2019, adjusted for inflation?

Will California have a lower GDP per capita than at most nine countries in the world in 2050?

What will real GDP growth be in the United States in the following years?

What will be the Trade Openness Index for China in the following years?

Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?

Chinese volume production using EUV by 2033?

Chinese GDP Greater than US by 2041?

Chinese GDP Greater than US by 2041?

Will a developed country experience >20% yearly GDP growth before 2031?

If China launches a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2035, how much will China's real GDP (PPP) grow over the next 4 quarters?

What will be the China-to-USA GDP ratio in 2050?

Will the UK achieve an average annual GDP growth rate of 2.5% over the current parliamentary term?

What will be the percentage change of international trade in goods volume between OECD Member countries and the People's Republic of China in 2029 compared to 2019, adjusted for inflation?

Will California have a lower GDP per capita than at most nine countries in the world in 2050?

What will real GDP growth be in the United States in the following years?

What will be the Trade Openness Index for China in the following years?