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US Democracy Index

❓

33 forecasters

The Taiwan Tinderbox

1 comment

18 forecasters

Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?

SMEE44%

Naura35%

Nata30%

10 comments

38 forecasters

Will a Chinese fab achieve volume production at <N nm nodes before 2030?

≤5 nm99%

≤3 nm91%

≤2 nm50%

2 comments

30 forecasters

If China launches a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2035, how much will China's real GDP (PPP) grow over the next 4 quarters?

Current estimate

-5.23%

condition

Chinese GDP Overtakes US Before 2030?

62 forecasters

if yes

if no

US-China war before 2035?

15%

US-China war before 2035?

1 1 comment

62 forecasters

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

40 comments

153 forecasters

Will the US set a new annual GDP growth rate record high before 2030?

12.2%chance

9 comments

18 forecasters

Will a developed country experience >20% yearly GDP growth before 2031?

2%chance

3 comments

12 forecasters

What will be the compound annual growth rate percentage of Chinese GDP (PPP) from 2022 to 2032?

Current estimate

4.81%

condition

Yuan a Top 3 Global Currency

11 forecasters

if yes

if no

US-China war before 2035?

0 comments

11 forecasters

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

5 comments

2 forecasters

What will be the Trade Openness Index for China in the following years?

204046.3

2030>38

202537.1

Chinese Invasion of Taiwan? (2030)

Chinese GDP Greater than US by 2041?

Chinese GDP Greater than US by 2041?

Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?

Will a Chinese fab achieve volume production at <N nm nodes before 2030?

If China launches a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2035, how much will China's real GDP (PPP) grow over the next 4 quarters?

Chinese GDP Overtakes US Before 2030?

US-China war before 2035?

US-China war before 2035?

Will the US set a new annual GDP growth rate record high before 2030?

Will a developed country experience >20% yearly GDP growth before 2031?

What will be the compound annual growth rate percentage of Chinese GDP (PPP) from 2022 to 2032?

Yuan a Top 3 Global Currency

US-China war before 2035?

US-China war before 2035?

What will be the Trade Openness Index for China in the following years?

Chinese Invasion of Taiwan? (2030)

Chinese GDP Greater than US by 2041?

Chinese GDP Greater than US by 2041?

Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?

Will a Chinese fab achieve volume production at <N nm nodes before 2030?

If China launches a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2035, how much will China's real GDP (PPP) grow over the next 4 quarters?

Chinese GDP Overtakes US Before 2030?

US-China war before 2035?

US-China war before 2035?

Will the US set a new annual GDP growth rate record high before 2030?

Will a developed country experience >20% yearly GDP growth before 2031?

What will be the compound annual growth rate percentage of Chinese GDP (PPP) from 2022 to 2032?

Yuan a Top 3 Global Currency

US-China war before 2035?

US-China war before 2035?

What will be the Trade Openness Index for China in the following years?