• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
❓
Top Questions
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
💎
Metaculus Cup
⏳
AI 2027
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
9 comments
18 forecasters

Will a developed country experience >20% yearly GDP growth before 2031?

2%chance
1 comment
17 forecasters

Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?

SMEE44%
Naura31%
AMEC30%
7 comments
36 forecasters

What will Poland's Economist Democracy Index be in 2030?

Current estimate
7.36
5 comments
37 forecasters

Will a Chinese fab achieve volume production at <N nm nodes before 2030?

≤5 nm99%
≤3 nm90%
≤2 nm49.4%
39 comments
114 forecasters

In which year will the world's real GDP first exceed 130% of its highest level from any previous year?

Current estimate
Nov 2053
3 comments
12 forecasters

What will be the compound annual growth rate percentage of Chinese GDP (PPP) from 2022 to 2032?

Current estimate
4.81%
8 comments
37 forecasters

Will a democratic nation whose economy transitions from capitalist to market socialist sustain adequate economic growth?

60%chance
3 comments
28 forecasters

If China launches a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2035, how much will China's real GDP (PPP) grow over the next 4 quarters?

Current estimate
-4.47%
5 comments
2 forecasters

What will be the Trade Openness Index for China in the following years?

204046.3
2030>38
202537.1

Threshold 2030: 30 economists & AI policy experts forecast AI's economic impact

5
11 comment