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9
comments
18
forecasters
Will a developed country experience >20% yearly GDP growth before 2031?
2%
chance
1
comment
17
forecasters
Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?
SMEE
44%
Naura
31%
AMEC
30%
1 other
7
comments
36
forecasters
What will Poland's Economist Democracy Index be in 2030?
Current estimate
7.36
5
comments
37
forecasters
Will a Chinese fab achieve volume production at <N nm nodes before 2030?
≤5 nm
99%
≤3 nm
90%
≤2 nm
49.4%
39
comments
114
forecasters
In which year will the world's real GDP first exceed 130% of its highest level from any previous year?
Current estimate
Nov 2053
3
comments
12
forecasters
What will be the compound annual growth rate percentage of Chinese GDP (PPP) from 2022 to 2032?
Current estimate
4.81%
8
comments
37
forecasters
Will a democratic nation whose economy transitions from capitalist to market socialist sustain adequate economic growth?
60%
chance
3
comments
28
forecasters
If China launches a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2035, how much will China's real GDP (PPP) grow over the next 4 quarters?
Current estimate
-4.47%
5
comments
2
forecasters
What will be the Trade Openness Index for China in the following years?
2040
46.3
2030
>38
2025
37.1
1 other
Threshold 2030: 30 economists & AI policy experts forecast AI's economic impact
5
1
1
comment
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