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Economist 2021 Series Announcement

8
1313 comments

What will core PCE and the max unemployment rate be at the end of 2023?

8
2323 comments
29
29 forecasters

Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?

20% chance

4
55 comments
815
815 forecasters
20%chance

What will real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) be in the United States in the following quarters?

2
1717 comments
30
30 forecasters

What will real GDP growth be in the United States in the following years?

6
1717 comments
27
27 forecasters

Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?

13% chance

2
77 comments
38
38 forecasters
13%chance

Will the U.S. presidential administration alter or delay the public release of a major federal economic indicator in the following years?

33 comments
104
104 forecasters

What will be the annual headline CPI inflation in the United States in the following years?

4
77 comments
34
34 forecasters

What will be the seasonally adjusted annual average U-3 unemployment rate in the United States in the following years?

2
77 comments
22
22 forecasters

Will a recession begin in the United States in the following years?

14
1919 comments
102
102 forecasters

What will be the Trade Openness Index for the United States in the following years?

22 comments
5
5 forecasters

Matthew Yglesias Predicts 2021

21
1313 comments

Two Theories of Inflation

25
1010 comments

Beyond Benchmark Rates: How Modern Central Banks Tighten Monetary Policy

10
11 comment

Metaculus Economic Indicator Report

0 comments

Threshold 2030: 30 economists & AI policy experts forecast AI's economic impact

5
0 comments