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29 forecasters

UR < 4.5%, core PCE ≥ 3%result: Yes

UR < 4.5%, core PCE < 3%result: No

UR ≥ 4.5%, core PCE ≥ 3%result: No

34 forecasters

22%chance

32 forecasters

93 forecasters

27 forecasters

314 forecasters

65%chance

18 forecasters

8%chance

12 forecasters

55%chance

87 forecasters

12%chance