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US Democracy Index

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What will be the value of the Economic Policy Uncertainty index for the US for November and December 2025? (November)

Current estimate

Revealed

in 31 minutes

0 comments

97 forecasters

What will be the value of the Economic Policy Uncertainty index for the US for November and December 2025? (December)

Current estimate

Revealed

in 31 minutes

3 comments

39 forecasters

What will be the value of the Economic Policy Uncertainty index for the US for November and December 2025?

38 comments

122 forecasters

Will the United States bailout Argentina before 2026?

22%chance

4% this week

Key Factors

7 comments

35 forecasters

Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?

22%chance

23 comments

29 forecasters

What will core PCE and the max unemployment rate be at the end of 2023?

UR < 4.5%, core PCE ≥ 3%result: Yes

UR < 4.5%, core PCE < 3%result: No

UR ≥ 4.5%, core PCE ≥ 3%result: No

12 comments

29 forecasters

What will the US effective fed funds rate be in the following years?

10 comments

67 forecasters

Will 1 Euro be worth less than 1 US Dollar before 2026?

2%chance

2% this week

2 comments

319 forecasters

Will the US dollar continuously remain >50% of global foreign currency exchange reserves through Q3 2028?

70%chance

3 comments

19 forecasters

Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months?

5%chance

2% this week