Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
🗳️
US Democracy Index
❓
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
📈
Indexes
💎
Metaculus Cup
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
3
comments
37
forecasters
What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?
Current estimate
62.7%
0
comments
31
forecasters
Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?
OVH
29%
Google Cloud
14.2%
Microsoft Azure
14%
1 other
4
comments
52
forecasters
On November 1, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Chinese yuan?
Current estimate
7.12 CNY per USD
6
comments
13
forecasters
What will be China's share of rare earth production in 2030?
Current estimate
51.5%
AI and Geopolitics: Resources, Predictions, and Mental Models
0
comments
AI and Geopolitics: Resources, Predictions, and Mental Models
4
comments
29
forecasters
How many zero emission light vehicles will be available for under 40 thousand dollars (in 2022 US dollars) in the United States for the following model years?
19
comments
94
forecasters
Will a recession begin in the United States in the following years?
1
comment
17
forecasters
Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?
SMEE
44%
Naura
35%
AMEC
30%
1 other
12
comments
64
forecasters
Will controlled AI chips be smuggled into China through any of the following countries before 2026?
Vietnam
85%
Singapore
result:
Yes
Taiwan
70%
9 others
2
comments
48
forecasters
Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have at least 20% of the market cap that TSMC has in 2028?
33%
chance
Load More