Will the June 2026 University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment number be greater than it was for May 2026?result: yes113113 comments116116 forecastersResolvedYes
Will the June 2026 University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment number be greater than it was for May 2026?result: yes33 comments1111 forecastersResolvedYes
Will employment in US knowledge-intensive sectors (NAICS 52 and 54) decline by more than 1% in any single month before 2030?6% chance11010 comments1111 forecasters6%chance
Will the U.S. presidential administration alter or delay the public release of a major federal economic indicator in the following years?33 comments104104 forecasters
Will annualized U.S. per-capita consumption growth from 2030-2035 exceed 8% (with appropriate adjustments for quality changes, home production, and zero-cost goods and services)?12% chance122 comments88 forecasters12%chance
Will the U.S. employment-population ratio for ages 25-54 fall below 70% by 2035?16% chance133 comments88 forecasters16%chance
Will the community prediction be higher than 32.00% on 2026-05-14 for the Metaculus question "Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?"?result: no9696 comments9393 forecastersResolvedNo
What will the percent change in the US employment levels be in the following years relative to 2025?32929 comments4343 forecasters
What will be the seasonally adjusted S&P/Case-Shiller US National Home Price Index in the following months?33333 comments2121 forecasters
Will the community prediction be higher than 30.80% on 2026-04-25 for the Metaculus question "Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?"?result: no11 comment102102 forecastersResolvedNo
Will the US stock market crash by more than 10% in any 5-day trading period before 2027?39% chance233 comments4141 forecasters39%chance
What monthly percent change will Statistics Canada report for real GDP for all industries for February 2026?0.1% (-0.1 - 0.3)9797 comments9999 forecasters0.1% (-0.1 - 0.3)
Will the first official U.S. Census Bureau advance estimate for March 2026 show that seasonally adjusted U.S. retail and food services sales increased from February 2026?result: yes118118 comments117117 forecastersResolvedYes
What will the percent change of the hourly median wage of US financial specialists be relative to 2025 in the following years?144 comments2424 forecasters
What will be the highest level of annual real GDP growth in the US before 2030?6.23% (5.73 - 6.95)71313 comments7070 forecasters6.23% (5.73 - 6.95)
What will core PCE and the max unemployment rate be at the end of 2023?82323 comments2929 forecasters
What will be the real price of gas (per gallon, 2022 USD) in the US on the following dates?73434 comments5050 forecasters
What will the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate be in the United States in the following months?68383 comments4646 forecasters
What will the percent change in people employed as financial specialists in the US be relative to 2025?199 comments3434 forecasters
What will the percent change in the US labor productivity be in the following years relative to 2025?11010 comments3131 forecasters
What will the percent change in the US employment levels be in these years vs 2025, conditional on positive real GDP growth?44 comments2727 forecasters