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Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index

7
0 comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
0 comments
7 forecasters

Will the U.S. presidential administration alter or delay the public release of a major federal economic indicator in the following years?

0 comments
92 forecasters

Will the US unemployment rate in November 2025 be below the rate in November 2024?

30%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

1 comment
52 forecasters

What will be the value of "the Economic Policy Uncertainty Index for the US" on 2025-08-28?

community
220 Index
result
243.9 Index
62 comments
43 forecasters

What will be the change in seasonally adjusted nonfarm payroll employment in the following months?

23 comments
29 forecasters

What will core PCE and the max unemployment rate be at the end of 2023?

UR < 4.5%, core PCE ≥ 3%result: Yes
UR < 4.5%, core PCE < 3%result: No
UR ≥ 4.5%, core PCE ≥ 3%result: No
7 comments
34 forecasters

Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?

22%chance
2 comments
28 forecasters

Will US imports from Brazil in November 2025 exceed those of November 2024?

30%chance
10% this week
0 comments
8 forecasters

What will net outlays by the US government be in 2028 as a percentage of GDP?

Current estimate
23.2%
5 comments
34 forecasters

What will be the seasonally adjusted CPI-U (with food and energy) for August 2021?

community
0.485
result
0.3