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Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index
13
0
comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
0
comments
83
forecasters
What will be the value of "Nominal Broad U.S. Dollar Index" on 2025-09-25?
Latest estimate
120 Index Jan 2006=100
This question is closed for forecasting.
0
comments
92
forecasters
Will the US unemployment rate in November 2025 be below the rate in November 2024?
30%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0
comments
10
forecasters
Will the U.S. presidential administration alter or delay the public release of a major federal economic indicator in the following years?
7
comments
114
forecasters
What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods?
1
comment
52
forecasters
What will be the value of "the Economic Policy Uncertainty Index for the US" on 2025-08-28?
community
220 Index
result
243.9 Index
6
comments
62
forecasters
Will the US national debt be under $38 trillion on September 30, 2025?
75%
chance
15%
this week
62
comments
43
forecasters
What will be the change in seasonally adjusted nonfarm payroll employment in the following months?
7
comments
34
forecasters
Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?
22%
chance
23
comments
29
forecasters
What will core PCE and the max unemployment rate be at the end of 2023?
UR < 4.5%, core PCE ≥ 3%
result:
Yes
UR < 4.5%, core PCE < 3%
result:
No
UR ≥ 4.5%, core PCE ≥ 3%
result:
No
1 other
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