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Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index

13
0 comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
0 comments
83 forecasters

What will be the value of "Nominal Broad U.S. Dollar Index" on 2025-09-25?

Latest estimate
120 Index Jan 2006=100

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
92 forecasters

Will the US unemployment rate in November 2025 be below the rate in November 2024?

30%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
10 forecasters

Will the U.S. presidential administration alter or delay the public release of a major federal economic indicator in the following years?

7 comments
114 forecasters

What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods?

1 comment
52 forecasters

What will be the value of "the Economic Policy Uncertainty Index for the US" on 2025-08-28?

community
220 Index
result
243.9 Index
6 comments
62 forecasters

Will the US national debt be under $38 trillion on September 30, 2025?

75%chance
15% this week
62 comments
43 forecasters

What will be the change in seasonally adjusted nonfarm payroll employment in the following months?

7 comments
34 forecasters

Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?

22%chance
23 comments
29 forecasters

What will core PCE and the max unemployment rate be at the end of 2023?

UR < 4.5%, core PCE ≥ 3%result: Yes
UR < 4.5%, core PCE < 3%result: No
UR ≥ 4.5%, core PCE ≥ 3%result: No