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0 comments
14 forecasters

Will the losing major-party candidate in the following U.S. presidential elections refuse to concede defeat before electors meet?

0 comments
14 forecasters

Will two or more losing major-party candidates for governor or U.S. Senator in competitive races refuse to concede defeat in the following general elections?

6 comments
55 forecasters

Will Andrew Cuomo, Eric Adams or Curtis Sliwa announce that they are dropping out of the 2025 NYC mayoral race before October 1, 2025?

resultYes
16 comments
38 forecasters

Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states?

Texasresult: Yes
Floridaresult: Yes
Missouriresult: Yes
38 comments
64 forecasters

What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Democraticresult: 48.3242
Republicanresult: 49.79607
Greenresult: 0.555306

Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index

17
66 comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
1 comment
12 forecasters

Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Jeannette Jara65%
José Antonio Kast27%
Evelyn Matthei5%
79 comments
63 forecasters

What percentage of the vote will presidential candidate candidate Javier Milei receive in Argentina's upcoming Open Primaries Elections?

community
19.9
result
More than 30
0 comments
12 forecasters

Will an opposing-party authority block or remove a major-party nominee for statewide office from the U.S. general-election ballot in the following years?

65 comments
87 forecasters

Who will win the 2023 Argentine presidential election?

Javier Mileiresult: Yes
Sergio Massaresult: No
Patricia Bullrichresult: No