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0
comments
14
forecasters
Will the losing major-party candidate in the following U.S. presidential elections refuse to concede defeat before electors meet?
0
comments
14
forecasters
Will two or more losing major-party candidates for governor or U.S. Senator in competitive races refuse to concede defeat in the following general elections?
0
comments
94
forecasters
Which of the 2025 Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial elections will the Democrats win?
Both elections
60.5%
Only Virginia
24.2%
Only New Jersey
9.5%
1 other
6%
This question is closed for forecasting.
3.9k
comments
3.6k
forecasters
Who will be elected US President in 2024?
Donald Trump
result:
Yes
Gretchen Whitmer
result:
No
Pete Buttigieg
result:
No
17 others
82
comments
235
forecasters
If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Donald Trump (R)
result:
Yes
Kamala Harris (D)
result:
No
Gavin Newsom (D)
Annulled
17 others
38
comments
64
forecasters
What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Democratic
result:
48.3242
Republican
result:
49.79607
Green
result:
0.555306
3 others
16
comments
38
forecasters
Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states?
Texas
result:
Yes
Florida
result:
Yes
Missouri
result:
Yes
12 others
2
comments
12
forecasters
Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Jeannette Jara
62.5%
José Antonio Kast
27.5%
Evelyn Matthei
2.5%
5 others
0
comments
90
forecasters
Who will win the Texas 18th district special election?
Amanda Edwards
31.8%
Christian Menefee
31.2%
Jolanda Jones
16.5%
4 others
20%
This question is closed for forecasting.
Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index
17
6
6
comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
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