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0 comments
14 forecasters

Will the losing major-party candidate in the following U.S. presidential elections refuse to concede defeat before electors meet?

0 comments
14 forecasters

Will two or more losing major-party candidates for governor or U.S. Senator in competitive races refuse to concede defeat in the following general elections?

0 comments
94 forecasters

Which of the 2025 Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial elections will the Democrats win?

Both elections60.5%
Only Virginia24.2%
Only New Jersey9.5%

This question is closed for forecasting.

3.9k comments
3.6k forecasters

Who will be elected US President in 2024?

Donald Trumpresult: Yes
Gretchen Whitmerresult: No
Pete Buttigiegresult: No
82 comments
235 forecasters

If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Donald Trump (R)result: Yes
Kamala Harris (D)result: No
Gavin Newsom (D)Annulled
38 comments
64 forecasters

What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Democraticresult: 48.3242
Republicanresult: 49.79607
Greenresult: 0.555306
16 comments
38 forecasters

Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states?

Texasresult: Yes
Floridaresult: Yes
Missouriresult: Yes
2 comments
12 forecasters

Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Jeannette Jara62.5%
José Antonio Kast27.5%
Evelyn Matthei2.5%
0 comments
90 forecasters

Who will win the Texas 18th district special election?

Amanda Edwards31.8%
Christian Menefee31.2%
Jolanda Jones16.5%

This question is closed for forecasting.

Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index

17
66 comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index