Before August 2026, will the government of Alberta officially announce a date for an independence referendum?result: yes144 comments1111 forecastersResolvedYes
How many seats will each party win in the Next Australian federal election (2028)122 comments33 forecasters
When will Canada become a full member state of the European Union?Jan 2062 (Oct 2038 - 2092)344 comments77 forecastersJan 2062 (Oct 2038 - 2092)
Will at least part of Canada become a U.S. state before January 21, 2033?1% chance322 comments3535 forecasters1%chance
Before July 1, 2025, will the government of Alberta officially announce a date for an independence referendum?result: no8787 comments8080 forecastersResolvedNo
Will the U.S. annex any part of Canada before June 3, 2072?6% chance399 comments3636 forecasters6%chance
Which party will win the Quebec provincial by-election in Chicoutimi scheduled for February 23, 2026?114114 comments114114 forecasters
Will another Canadian MP defect or resign before 2026?result: yes100100 comments102102 forecastersResolvedYes
Which party will win the most seats in the next Canadian federal election?212727 comments161161 forecasters
Will another Canadian MP defect or resign before 2026?result: yes366 comments6161 forecastersResolvedYes
Will Pierre Poilievre become Prime Minister of Canada before 2026?result: no9595 comments9595 forecastersResolvedNo
When will a referendum on Quebec independence take place?10 Apr 2028 (06 Nov 2027 - 16 Apr 2029)377 comments1010 forecasters10 Apr 2028 (06 Nov 2027 - 16 Apr 2029)
Will Pierre Poilievre become Prime Minister of Canada before 2026?result: no103434 comments145145 forecastersResolvedNo
How many seats in the Canadian House of Commons will these parties win in the 2025 federal election? (New Democratic)9090 comments8888 forecasters
How many seats in the Canadian House of Commons will these parties win in the 2025 federal election? (Conservative)9191 comments8989 forecasters
How many seats in the Canadian House of Commons will these parties win in the 2025 federal election? (Green)9393 comments8989 forecasters
How many seats in the Canadian House of Commons will these parties win in the 2025 federal election?588 comments4444 forecasters
Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in the 2025 Canadian federal election?result: no4040 comments3535 forecastersResolvedNo
Will the Liberal Party win 172 or more seats in the 2025 Canadian federal election?result: no4040 comments3434 forecastersResolvedNo
Will Bloc Québécois win more seats in Quebec than the Conservative Party?result: yes3838 comments3636 forecastersResolvedYes
Will Canada revoke Elon Musk's citizenship before April 1, 2025?result: no8282 comments3131 forecastersResolvedNo
Will Canada announce a federal election before April 1, 2025?result: yes8484 comments2828 forecastersResolvedYes
Who will win the Liberal Party of Canada's leadership election to replace Justin Trudeau as Prime Minister of Canada?7979 comments2525 forecasters