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Before August 2026, will the government of Alberta officially announce a date for an independence referendum?

result: yes

1

11

11 forecasters

ResolvedYes

When will Canada become a full member state of the European Union?

Nov 2062 (Mar 2051 - 2087)

2

10

10 forecasters

Nov 2062

(Mar 2051 - 2087)

Will the 2026 Alberta independence referendum pass?

2% chance

4

61

61 forecasters

2%chance

Will another Canadian MP defect or resign before 2026?

result: yes

3

61

61 forecasters

ResolvedYes

How many seats will each party win in the Next Australian federal election (2028)

1

4

4 forecasters

Will Pierre Poilievre become Prime Minister of Canada before 2026?

result: no

10

145

145 forecasters

ResolvedNo

How many seats in the Canadian House of Commons will these parties win in the 2025 federal election?

5

44

44 forecasters

Before July 1, 2025, will the government of Alberta officially announce a date for an independence referendum?

result: no

80

80 forecasters

ResolvedNo

Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in the 2025 Canadian federal election?

result: no

35

35 forecasters

ResolvedNo

Will the Liberal Party win 172 or more seats in the 2025 Canadian federal election?

result: no

34

34 forecasters

ResolvedNo

Will Bloc Québécois win more seats in Quebec than the Conservative Party?

result: yes

36

36 forecasters

ResolvedYes

Will Canada revoke Elon Musk's citizenship before April 1, 2025?

result: no

31

31 forecasters

ResolvedNo

Will Canada announce a federal election before April 1, 2025?

result: yes

28

28 forecasters

ResolvedYes

Who will win the Liberal Party of Canada's leadership election to replace Justin Trudeau as Prime Minister of Canada?

25

25 forecasters

Who will win the Liberal Party of Canada's leadership election to replace Justin Trudeau as Prime Minister of Canada?

6

1.1k

1.1k forecasters

Will Justin Trudeau cease to be Prime Minister of Canada before April 1, 2025?

result: yes

19

19 forecasters

ResolvedYes

Will Ontario Premier Doug Ford call an early provincial election for 2025?

result: yes

3

3 forecasters

ResolvedYes

Before Jan 1, 2025, will Ontario Premier Doug Ford call an early provincial election scheduled for 2025?

result: no

29

29 forecasters

ResolvedNo

[PRACTICE] Will Pierre Poilievre become Prime Minister of Canada before 2026?

45% chance

30

30 forecasters

Annulled

[PRACTICE] Will Pierre Poilievre become Prime Minister of Canada before 2026?

45% chance

30

30 forecasters

Annulled

[PRACTICE] Will Pierre Poilievre become Prime Minister of Canada before 2026?

35% chance

33

33 forecasters

Annulled

[PRACTICE] Will Pierre Poilievre become Prime Minister of Canada before 2026?

35% chance

29

29 forecasters

Annulled