0 comments
4 forecasters
Will a U.S. state legislative or congressional map be used for the following general elections with a total population deviation between districts of ≥12%?
82 comments
81 forecasters
Will the community prediction be higher than 21.00% on 2025-09-11 for the Metaculus question "Will J.D. Vance become President of the United States before January 20, 2029?"?
resultYes
0 comments
88 forecasters
Will Andrew Cuomo, Eric Adams or Curtis Sliwa announce that they are dropping out of the 2025 NYC mayoral race before October 1, 2025?
20%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
7 forecasters
Will a U.S. federal or state court prevent certification of any statewide election result in the following years because of foreign interference?
2 comments
14 forecasters
Will U.S. Congress pass new limits on early voting, absentee voting, or voter registration in the following years?
0 comments
7 forecasters
How will Bright Line Watch experts rate US democracy on a 0-100 scale at the end of the following years?
202551.7
202649.6
202749
0 comments
8 forecasters
Will both Kalshi and Polymarket assign >20% odds to the major-party nomination of an already twice-elected former U.S. president in the following years?
0 comments
7 forecasters
Will the losing major-party candidate in the following U.S. presidential elections refuse to concede defeat before electors meet?
0 comments
6 forecasters