Question Feed | Metaculus

Topics

🗳️

US Democracy Index

❓

Will President Donald J. Trump take legal action against the BBC before 2026?

Trump files a lawsuit in the USA onlyUpcoming

Trump files a lawsuit in the UK onlyUpcoming

Trump files a lawsuit in both the USA and the UKUpcoming

0 comments

99 forecasters

Will President Trump formally invoke the Insurrection Act before 2026?

15%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments

4 forecasters

Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 US Senate election in the following states?

GeorgiaUpcoming

IowaUpcoming

MaineUpcoming

0 comments

3 forecasters

What will be Donald Trump's approval rating be on November 25, 2025?

Current estimate

Revealed

in 4 days

135 comments

314 forecasters

Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?

48%chance

Key Factors

0 comments

87 forecasters

Will Mikie Sherrill be officially certified as the winner of New Jersey’s 2025 gubernatorial election by December 31, 2025?

97%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments

99 forecasters

Will the Department of Justice announce an investigation or prosecution of a Democrat who served as president, vice president, congressional leader, whip, or impeachment manager before 2026?

25%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

1 comment

17 forecasters

Will the Trump administration release the Epstein Files before January 20, 2029?

34%chance

4% this week

4 comments

18 forecasters

Will Nancy Pelosi beat the S&P 500 in 2025?

40%chance

45% this week

6 comments

11 forecasters

Will legislation pass before 2029 that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest income bracket?

34%chance

46% this week