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0
comments
107
forecasters
Will the US Congress pass a bill implementing Trump's tariff policies in 2025?
11.4%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0
comments
99
forecasters
What will happen next concerning the repeal of the 48E (ITC) clean electricity tax credit of the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act?
2027-2028 sunset w/ safe harbor
30%
2025-2026 sunset w/ safe harbor
23.4%
No sunset reduction before 2026
20.7%
4 others
26%
This question is closed for forecasting.
12
comments
78
forecasters
Will Jared Isaacman be re-nominated as NASA Administrator before 2026?
Current estimate
Revealed
in 2 days
0
comments
38
forecasters
Will Sean Duffy be Acting Administrator of NASA continuously through December 31, 2025?
Current estimate
Revealed
in 3 days
94
comments
93
forecasters
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
result
No
95
comments
94
forecasters
Will the community prediction be higher than 10.00% on 2025-10-23 for the Metaculus question "Will there be an FEC Form 1 filed for Elon Musk's Political Party before 2026?"?
result
No
Contributed by the
Adjacent
community.
2
comments
2
forecasters
Who will Trump nominate as next Fed Chair?
Someone else
31.5%
Kevin Hassett
19%
Kevin Warsh
17.5%
3 others
32%
5
comments
55
forecasters
Who will win the UK Labour Party's Deputy Leadership election in 2025?
Lucy Powell
result:
Yes
Bridget Phillipson
33%
Someone else
0.1%
103
comments
308
forecasters
Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?
50%
chance
9%
this week
6
comments
48
forecasters
What will be the lead of Zohran Mamdani in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Current estimate
14.8 pp
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