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0 comments

In Louisiana v. Callais, will SCOTUS rule that Louisiana's map with two majority-Black districts is illegal?

Current estimate
Revealed in 5 days
1 comment
45 forecasters

Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Jeannette Jara66%
José Antonio Kast36%
Evelyn Matthei10%

Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index

16
55 comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
0 comments
46 forecasters

Will two or more losing major-party candidates for governor or U.S. Senator in competitive races refuse to concede defeat in the following general elections?

0 comments
45 forecasters

In the following U.S. presidential elections, will any state fail to submit a slate of electoral votes to Congress by the safe harbor deadline?

1 comment
37 forecasters

Will a U.S. state legislative or congressional map be used for the following general elections with a total population deviation between districts of ≥12%?

16 comments
38 forecasters

Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states?

Texasresult: Yes
Floridaresult: Yes
Missouriresult: Yes
0 comments
44 forecasters

Will a U.S. federal or state court prevent certification of any statewide election result in the following years because of foreign interference?

10 comments
29 forecasters

Will the Democratic nominee for President in 2024 be on the ballot in the following states?

Wisconsinresult: Yes
New Mexicoresult: Yes
Montanaresult: Yes
0 comments
45 forecasters

Will an opposing-party authority block or remove a major-party nominee for statewide office from the U.S. general-election ballot in the following years?