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0 comments

Which party's nominee will win the 2028 US presidential election?

Republican PartyUpcoming
Democratic PartyUpcoming
OtherUpcoming
0 comments

What will be the Democratic candidate's Electoral College margin in the 2028 US presidential election?

Current estimate
Revealed in 4 days
418 comments
1.2k forecasters

Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Donald Trumpresult: Yes
Nikki Haleyresult: No
Ron DeSantisresult: No
3.9k comments
3.6k forecasters

Who will be elected US President in 2024?

Donald Trumpresult: Yes
Gretchen Whitmerresult: No
Pete Buttigiegresult: No
82 comments
235 forecasters

If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Donald Trump (R)result: Yes
Kamala Harris (D)result: No
Gavin Newsom (D)Annulled
1 comment
31 forecasters

In Louisiana v. Callais, will SCOTUS rule that Louisiana's map with two majority-Black districts is illegal?

80%chance
10% this week

Key Factors

584 comments
1.2k forecasters

Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Kamala Harrisresult: Yes
Joe Bidenresult: No
Gavin Newsomresult: No
14 comments
16 forecasters

What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024?

Alaskaresult: 13.1
Iowaresult: 13.2
Ohioresult: 11.1
2 comments
55 forecasters

Will California's Proposition 50 (allowing redistricting of House seats) pass in the 2025 election?

80%chance
8% this week

Key Factors

Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index

16
66 comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index