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0
comments
Which party's nominee will win the 2028 US presidential election?
Republican Party
Upcoming
Democratic Party
Upcoming
Other
Upcoming
0
comments
What will be the Democratic candidate's Electoral College margin in the 2028 US presidential election?
Current estimate
Revealed
in 4 days
418
comments
1.2k
forecasters
Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Donald Trump
result:
Yes
Nikki Haley
result:
No
Ron DeSantis
result:
No
14 others
3.9k
comments
3.6k
forecasters
Who will be elected US President in 2024?
Donald Trump
result:
Yes
Gretchen Whitmer
result:
No
Pete Buttigieg
result:
No
17 others
82
comments
235
forecasters
If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Donald Trump (R)
result:
Yes
Kamala Harris (D)
result:
No
Gavin Newsom (D)
Annulled
17 others
1
comment
31
forecasters
In Louisiana v. Callais, will SCOTUS rule that Louisiana's map with two majority-Black districts is illegal?
80%
chance
10%
this week
Key Factors
Roberts and Kavanaugh's stance on race policies
Students for Fair Admissions v. Harvard (2023)
Alexander v. South Carolina NAACP (2024)
584
comments
1.2k
forecasters
Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Kamala Harris
result:
Yes
Joe Biden
result:
No
Gavin Newsom
result:
No
13 others
14
comments
16
forecasters
What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024?
Alaska
result:
13.1
Iowa
result:
13.2
Ohio
result:
11.1
22 others
2
comments
55
forecasters
Will California's Proposition 50 (allowing redistricting of House seats) pass in the 2025 election?
80%
chance
8%
this week
Key Factors
Polling shows a consistent ‘Yes’ lead
Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index
16
6
6
comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
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