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0 comments
41 forecasters

Will the 2025 return of professional investor Bill Ackman beat the return of any of these politicians?

Current estimate
Revealed tomorrow
0 comments

In Louisiana v. Callais, will SCOTUS rule that Louisiana's map with two majority-Black districts is illegal?

Current estimate
Revealed in 5 days
0 comments
90 forecasters

Who will win the Texas 18th district special election?

Amanda Edwards31.8%
Christian Menefee31.2%
Jolanda Jones16.5%

This question is closed for forecasting.

Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index

16
55 comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
122 comments
168 forecasters

[Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal?

Mike Johnson (R)result: Yes
Kevin Hern (R)Annulled
Steve Scalise (R)result: No
13 comments
452 forecasters

Which party will hold the most seats in the US House of Representatives after the 2026 elections?

Democrats68%
Republicans31.9%
Other0.1%
82 comments
235 forecasters

If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Donald Trump (R)result: Yes
Kamala Harris (D)result: No
Gavin Newsom (D)Annulled
0 comments
46 forecasters

Will two or more losing major-party candidates for governor or U.S. Senator in competitive races refuse to concede defeat in the following general elections?

0 comments
45 forecasters

In the following U.S. presidential elections, will any state fail to submit a slate of electoral votes to Congress by the safe harbor deadline?

9 comments
130 forecasters

Who will win the Texas 18th district special election?

Amanda Edwards43.2%
Christian Menefee31.1%
Jolanda Jones12.1%