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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
2 comments
17 forecasters

What will be the Republican advantage (or disadvantage) vs Democrats in the House of Representatives after the 2026 elections?

Current estimate
-9.61 seats
122 comments
168 forecasters

[Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal?

Mike Johnson (R)result: Yes
Kevin Hern (R)Annulled
Steve Scalise (R)result: No
condition

In Louisiana v. Callais, will SCOTUS rule that Louisiana's map with two majority-Black districts is illegal?

16 forecasters
if yes
if no

What will be the Republican advantage (or disadvantage) vs Democrats in the House of Representatives after the 2026 elections?

-4.96

What will be the Republican advantage (or disadvantage) vs Democrats in the House of Representatives after the 2026 elections?

-5.68
0 comments
16
16 forecasters
POTUS Predictions
82 comments
235 forecasters

If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Donald Trump (R)result: Yes
Kamala Harris (D)result: No
Gavin Newsom (D)Annulled

Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index

17
66 comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
1 comment
34 forecasters

In Louisiana v. Callais, will SCOTUS rule that Louisiana's map with two majority-Black districts is illegal?

81%chance

Key Factors

0 comments
90 forecasters

Who will win the Texas 18th district special election?

Amanda Edwards31.8%
Christian Menefee31.2%
Jolanda Jones16.5%

This question is closed for forecasting.

73 comments
314 forecasters

Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections?

Democrat Senate, Rep Houseresult: Yes
Republican Senate & Houseresult: No
Republican Senate, Dem Houseresult: No
75 comments
107 forecasters

[Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress?

Kevin McCarthy (R)result: Yes
Elise Stefanik (R)result: No
Donald Trump (R)result: No
38 comments
64 forecasters

What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Democraticresult: 48.3242
Republicanresult: 49.79607
Greenresult: 0.555306