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0 comments
3 forecasters

Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 US Senate election in the following states?

GeorgiaUpcoming
IowaUpcoming
MaineUpcoming
122 comments
168 forecasters

[Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal?

Mike Johnson (R)result: Yes
Kevin Hern (R)Annulled
Steve Scalise (R)result: No
2 comments
17 forecasters

What will be the Republican advantage (or disadvantage) vs Democrats in the House of Representatives after the 2026 elections?

Current estimate
-9.61 seats
condition

In Louisiana v. Callais, will SCOTUS rule that Louisiana's map with two majority-Black districts is illegal?

18 forecasters
if yes
if no

What will be the Republican advantage (or disadvantage) vs Democrats in the House of Representatives after the 2026 elections?

-4.71

What will be the Republican advantage (or disadvantage) vs Democrats in the House of Representatives after the 2026 elections?

-5.8
0 comments
18
18 forecasters
POTUS Predictions
82 comments
235 forecasters

If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Donald Trump (R)result: Yes
Kamala Harris (D)result: No
Gavin Newsom (D)Annulled
18 comments
452 forecasters

Which party will hold the most seats in the US House of Representatives after the 2026 elections?

Democrats69.9%
Republicans30%
Other0.1%

Key Factors

Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index

17
66 comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
0 comments
90 forecasters

Who will win the Texas 18th district special election?

Amanda Edwards31.8%
Christian Menefee31.2%
Jolanda Jones16.5%

This question is closed for forecasting.

1 comment
34 forecasters

In Louisiana v. Callais, will SCOTUS rule that Louisiana's map with two majority-Black districts is illegal?

81%chance

Key Factors

73 comments
314 forecasters

Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections?

Democrat Senate, Rep Houseresult: Yes
Republican Senate & Houseresult: No
Republican Senate, Dem Houseresult: No