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0
comments
41
forecasters
Will the 2025 return of professional investor Bill Ackman beat the return of any of these politicians?
Current estimate
Revealed
tomorrow
0
comments
In Louisiana v. Callais, will SCOTUS rule that Louisiana's map with two majority-Black districts is illegal?
Current estimate
Revealed
in 5 days
0
comments
90
forecasters
Who will win the Texas 18th district special election?
Amanda Edwards
31.8%
Christian Menefee
31.2%
Jolanda Jones
16.5%
4 others
20%
This question is closed for forecasting.
Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index
16
5
5
comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
122
comments
168
forecasters
[Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal?
Mike Johnson (R)
result:
Yes
Kevin Hern (R)
Annulled
Steve Scalise (R)
result:
No
18 others
13
comments
452
forecasters
Which party will hold the most seats in the US House of Representatives after the 2026 elections?
Democrats
68%
Republicans
31.9%
Other
0.1%
82
comments
235
forecasters
If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Donald Trump (R)
result:
Yes
Kamala Harris (D)
result:
No
Gavin Newsom (D)
Annulled
17 others
0
comments
46
forecasters
Will two or more losing major-party candidates for governor or U.S. Senator in competitive races refuse to concede defeat in the following general elections?
0
comments
45
forecasters
In the following U.S. presidential elections, will any state fail to submit a slate of electoral votes to Congress by the safe harbor deadline?
9
comments
130
forecasters
Who will win the Texas 18th district special election?
Amanda Edwards
43.2%
Christian Menefee
31.1%
Jolanda Jones
12.1%
4 others
14%
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