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What will be the Republican advantage over Democrats in the House of Representantives after the 2026 elections?

Current estimate

Revealed

in 7 hours

1 comment

26 forecasters

In Louisiana v. Callais, will SCOTUS rule that Louisiana's map with two majority-Black districts is illegal?

80%chance

10% today

17 comments

455 forecasters

Which party will hold the most seats in the US House of Representatives after the 2026 elections?

Democrats68.4%

Republicans31.5%

Other0.1%

0 comments

42 forecasters

Will the 2025 return of professional investor Bill Ackman beat the return of any of these politicians?

10%chance

10% this week

4 comments

59 forecasters

When will Adelita Grijalva be sworn in?

Current estimate

06 Nov 2025

12 comments

134 forecasters

Who will win the Texas 18th district special election?

Amanda Edwards42.5%

Christian Menefee35.4%

Jolanda Jones10.4%

0 comments

90 forecasters

Who will win the Texas 18th district special election?

Amanda Edwards31.8%

Christian Menefee31.2%

Jolanda Jones16.5%

This question is closed for forecasting.

122 comments

168 forecasters

[Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal?

Mike Johnson (R)result: Yes

Kevin Hern (R)Annulled

Steve Scalise (R)result: No

0 comments

48 forecasters

Will two or more losing major-party candidates for governor or U.S. Senator in competitive races refuse to concede defeat in the following general elections?

0 comments

93 forecasters

Which Chamber of the US Congress will vote on a bill in furtherance of an acquisition of Greenland, before 2026?

Neither69.5%

House of Representatives21.1%

Both5%

This question is closed for forecasting.