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0 comments
93 forecasters

Which Chamber of the US Congress will vote on a bill in furtherance of an acquisition of Greenland, before 2026?

Neither69.5%
House of Representatives21.1%
Both5%

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
3 forecasters

Will a U.S. state legislative or congressional map be used for the following general elections with a total population deviation between districts of ≥12%?

2 comments
12 forecasters

Will U.S. Congress pass new limits on early voting, absentee voting, or voter registration in the following years?

0 comments
5 forecasters

In the following U.S. presidential elections, will any state fail to submit a slate of electoral votes to Congress by the safe harbor deadline?

0 comments
5 forecasters

Will two or more losing major-party candidates for governor or U.S. Senator in competitive races refuse to concede defeat in the following general elections?

0 comments
5 forecasters

Will the U.S. House maps for the following years give any major party an efficiency-gap advantage of ≥20 seats nationwide?

122 comments
168 forecasters

[Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal?

Mike Johnson (R)result: Yes
Kevin Hern (R)Annulled
Steve Scalise (R)result: No
0 comments
125 forecasters

Will the House of Representatives seat a legislator who was not certified as the winner of their election before July 1, 2027?

10%chance
5% this week
29 comments
1.2k forecasters

Will the US Congress pass a bill implementing Trump's tariff policies in 2025?

3%chance
0 comments
23 forecasters

Which party will control the US Congress following the 2026 midterm elections?

Rep Senate / Dem House66.1%
Rep Senate / Rep House18.4%
Dem Senate / Dem House14.5%