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When will Adelita Grijalva be sworn in?

community

13 Nov 2025 02:56

result

12 Nov 2025 21:15 UTC

Key Factors

0 comments

Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 US Senate election in the following states?

GeorgiaUpcoming

IowaUpcoming

MaineUpcoming

122 comments

168 forecasters

[Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal?

Mike Johnson (R)result: Yes

Kevin Hern (R)Annulled

Steve Scalise (R)result: No

2 comments

17 forecasters

What will be the Republican advantage (or disadvantage) vs Democrats in the House of Representatives after the 2026 elections?

Current estimate

-9.61 seats

condition

In Louisiana v. Callais, will SCOTUS rule that Louisiana's map with two majority-Black districts is illegal?

17 forecasters

if yes

if no

What will be the Republican advantage (or disadvantage) vs Democrats in the House of Representatives after the 2026 elections?

-4.95

What will be the Republican advantage (or disadvantage) vs Democrats in the House of Representatives after the 2026 elections?

17 forecasters

7 forecasters

Will the 2025 return of professional investor Bill Ackman beat the return of any of these politicians?

5%chance

5% this week

0 comments

90 forecasters

Who will win the Texas 18th district special election?

Amanda Edwards31.8%

Christian Menefee31.2%

Jolanda Jones16.5%

This question is closed for forecasting.

1 comment

34 forecasters

In Louisiana v. Callais, will SCOTUS rule that Louisiana's map with two majority-Black districts is illegal?

81%chance

Key Factors

29 comments

1.2k forecasters

Will the US Congress pass a bill implementing Trump's tariff policies in 2025?

2%chance

Key Factors

75 comments

107 forecasters

[Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress?

Kevin McCarthy (R)result: Yes

Elise Stefanik (R)result: No

Donald Trump (R)result: No