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0 comments
96 forecasters

How many countries from the list below will establish space agencies or dedicated space programs specifically focused on addressing climate change and sustainable development before 2026?

Latest estimate
2.44 countries

This question is closed for forecasting.

Platform feature suggestions

113
3.1k3.1k comments
Metaculus Meta
0 comments
101 forecasters

What will be the highest surface air temperature anomaly during November and December 2025?

Latest estimate
0.873 °C

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
101 forecasters

Which country will host the 31st Conference of the Parties (COP 31) in 2026?

Australia59.2%
Germany18.4%
Turkey17.1%

This question is closed for forecasting.

Launched: The RAND x Metaculus Policy Challenge | $10K in Prizes + Opportunities for Students

8
1616 comments
RAND x Metaculus Policy Challenge
95 comments
94 forecasters

Will the community prediction be higher than 5.00% on 2025-10-24 for the Metaculus question "Will there be a stronger hurricane than Erin during the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season?"?

resultNo

$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1

8
55 comments
AI Pathways Tournament
11 comments
61 forecasters

What will be the highest surface air temperature anomaly during November and December 2025?

Current estimate
0.869 °C

Key Factors

2 comments
62 forecasters

Which country will host the 31st Conference of the Parties (COP 31) in 2026?

Australia67.3%
Turkey18.9%
Germany10.8%

Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index

17
66 comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index