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Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index
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U.S. Democracy Threat Index
$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1
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AI Pathways Tournament
Platform feature suggestions
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🤖 The Fall AI Benchmark Tournament and MiniBench are now open!
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Contributed by the
Brown University Forecasting Team
community.
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6
forecasters
Will the record for the warmest day on record for the entire planet be broken by September 1, 2025?
result
No
14
comments
85
forecasters
Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026?
Google DeepMind
13%
Microsoft
5%
xAI
3%
14 others
Announcing the Metaculus Cup Fall 2025!
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Metaculus Cup Fall 2025
Suggest questions for the Metaculus Cup
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Metaculus Cup Fall 2025
Build Your Own Forecasting Bot in 30 Minutes With Our Tutorial Video
8
16
16
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Introducing Comments of the Week
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