Will the community prediction be higher than 18.80% on 2025-10-15 for the Metaculus question "Will there be a stronger hurricane than Erin during the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season?"?
Will the community prediction be higher than 5.00% on 2025-10-24 for the Metaculus question "Will there be a stronger hurricane than Erin during the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season?"?