• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
🗳️
US Democracy Index
❓
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
📈
Indexes
💎
Metaculus Cup
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1

8
44 comments
AI Pathways Tournament

🏆 Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3 Winners and Recap

5
0 comments
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3
95 comments
87 forecasters

Will the community prediction be higher than 18.80% on 2025-10-15 for the Metaculus question "Will there be a stronger hurricane than Erin during the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season?"?

resultNo
1 comment
83 forecasters

Which country will host the 31st Conference of the Parties (COP 31) in 2026?

AustraliaUpcoming
TurkeyUpcoming
GermanyUpcoming
0 comments
94 forecasters

Will the community prediction be higher than 5.00% on 2025-10-24 for the Metaculus question "Will there be a stronger hurricane than Erin during the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season?"?

29.5%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

Platform feature suggestions

113
3.1k3.1k comments
Metaculus Meta

Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index

16
66 comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
9 comments
97 forecasters

What will be the highest surface air temperature anomaly during November and December 2025?

Current estimate
Revealed in 4 days
12 comments
25 forecasters

What will be the minimum Antartic sea ice extent (in millions km^2) in these years?

Suggest questions for the Metaculus Cup

8
4646 comments
Metaculus Cup Fall 2025