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73 comments
83 forecasters

Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026?

Sam Bankman-Friedresult: Yes
Caroline Ellisonresult: Yes
Gary Wangresult: Yes
19 comments
62 forecasters

When will the price of Bitcoin first drop below $6481 (2021 USD)?

Current estimate
>Dec 2030

Contributed by the Adjacent community.

4 comments
9 forecasters

Will the market capitalization for USDT & USDC stablecoins surpass $300 billion USD by June 30, 2026?

85%chance
7 comments
34 forecasters

Will the total market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies exceed that of all mined gold before 2035?

53%chance
11 comments
66 forecasters

What will the total market cap of all cryptocurrencies be at the start of 2027? (In billion USD)

Current estimate
5238 billion $

Contributed by the Foresight Institute community.

1 comment
25 forecasters

Will cryptocurrencies account for at least 1% of U.S. retail payments before January 1, 2035?

87%chance
5 comments
10 forecasters

How many months in prison will Avraham Eisenberg be sentenced to before 2030?

Current estimate
74.6 months

On the Proliferation of NFTs in the Blue-Chip Contemporary Art Sector

2
0 comments
Metaculus Journal Archives
19 comments
46 forecasters

Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?

resultNo
20 comments
54 forecasters

Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?

resultYes