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0
comments
82
forecasters
How many months in prison will Sam Bankman-Fried be sentenced to before 2026?
Latest estimate
299 months
This question is closed for forecasting.
6
comments
20
forecasters
Will the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA) draw from a dollar swap line with the US government before January 1, 2026?
84%
chance
18%
this week
97
comments
97
forecasters
Will the community prediction be higher than 75.00% on 2025-11-08 for the Metaculus question "Will the United States bailout Argentina before 2026?"?
result
No
0
comments
10
forecasters
Before December 1, 2025, how many banks will be added to the FDIC's Failed Bank List?
Current estimate
0.18 banks
0
comments
100
forecasters
On December 31, 2025, will Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto as a payment?
25%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
2
comments
4
forecasters
How Many FDIC Banks will fail in 2023 through 2030?
Current estimate
95 banks
19
comments
142
forecasters
Will the price of Bitcoin fall below $10 (2021 USD) before 2121?
29%
chance
19
comments
62
forecasters
When will the price of Bitcoin first drop below $6481 (2021 USD)?
Current estimate
>Dec 2030
4
comments
73
forecasters
Will a stock exchange halt trading for >24 hours with a cause widely attributed to AI before 2025?
result
No
2
comments
21
forecasters
Will the US stock market go down by more than 5% in any week in the 4th quarter of 2025?
46%
chance
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