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0 comments
82 forecasters

How many months in prison will Sam Bankman-Fried be sentenced to before 2026?

Latest estimate
299 months

This question is closed for forecasting.

97 comments
97 forecasters

Will the community prediction be higher than 75.00% on 2025-11-08 for the Metaculus question "Will the United States bailout Argentina before 2026?"?

resultNo
3 comments
18 forecasters

Will the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA) draw from a dollar swap line with the US government before January 1, 2026?

65%chance
14% this week
0 comments
10 forecasters

Will DOJ or FTC approve a $5bn merger or acquisition after a related $1m expenditure to a group or cryptocurrency linked to the president in the following years?

0 comments
10 forecasters

Before December 1, 2025, how many banks will be added to the FDIC's Failed Bank List?

Current estimate
0.313 banks
0 comments
100 forecasters

On December 31, 2025, will Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto as a payment?

25%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

2 comments
19 forecasters

Will the US stock market go down by more than 5% in any week in the 4th quarter of 2025?

43%chance
1 comment
15 forecasters

Will the US stock market crash by more than 10% in any 5-day trading period before January 1, 2027?

50%chance

Market Pulse 25Q4 Opens

3
55 comments
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q4
73 comments
83 forecasters

Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026?

Sam Bankman-Friedresult: Yes
Caroline Ellisonresult: Yes
Gary Wangresult: Yes