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83 comments
82 forecasters

Will the community prediction be higher than 25.00% on 2025-09-09 for the Metaculus question "Before 2030, will traditional banks offer regulated DeFi yield products, with consumer protections?"?

resultYes
0 comments
6 forecasters

Will DOJ or FTC approve a $5bn merger or acquisition after a related $1m expenditure to a group or cryptocurrency linked to the president in the following years?

0 comments
7 forecasters

Will a U.S. cabinet agency award a $100m firm benefit after a $1m expenditure to a group or cryptocurrency linked to the president in the following years?

62 comments
1.2k forecasters

Will real-money betting on Polymarket or Manifold become legal in the United States in 2025?

67%chance
3 comments
25 forecasters

On December 31, 2027, in how many countries will courts have enforced a judgment based on a decentralized arbitration platform decision?

167.9%
222%
3-46.1%
1 comment
24 forecasters

Before January 1, 2031, will a unified digital identity protocol enable interaction with at least three different governance frameworks (financial, legal, and civic)?

20%chance
10% this week
1 comment
33 forecasters

Before 2030, will traditional banks offer regulated DeFi yield products, with consumer protections?

34%chance
9% this week
2 comments
30 forecasters

Before 2032, will a G7 central bank or finance ministry credit an AI forecasting system as a key reason for a major preemptive policy action to avert a potential economic crisis or instability?

12%chance
2 comments
28 forecasters

Will a top-5 US insurer publicly announce before 2028 that they will exclude coverage for AI systems lacking human override capabilities?

35%chance
5% this week
85 comments
2.9k forecasters

On December 31, 2025, will Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto as a payment?

20%chance
10% this week