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0
comments
82
forecasters
How many months in prison will Sam Bankman-Fried be sentenced to before 2026?
Latest estimate
299 months
This question is closed for forecasting.
97
comments
97
forecasters
Will the community prediction be higher than 75.00% on 2025-11-08 for the Metaculus question "Will the United States bailout Argentina before 2026?"?
result
No
3
comments
18
forecasters
Will the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA) draw from a dollar swap line with the US government before January 1, 2026?
65%
chance
14%
this week
0
comments
10
forecasters
Will DOJ or FTC approve a $5bn merger or acquisition after a related $1m expenditure to a group or cryptocurrency linked to the president in the following years?
0
comments
10
forecasters
Before December 1, 2025, how many banks will be added to the FDIC's Failed Bank List?
Current estimate
0.313 banks
0
comments
100
forecasters
On December 31, 2025, will Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto as a payment?
25%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
2
comments
19
forecasters
Will the US stock market go down by more than 5% in any week in the 4th quarter of 2025?
43%
chance
1
comment
15
forecasters
Will the US stock market crash by more than 10% in any 5-day trading period before January 1, 2027?
50%
chance
Market Pulse 25Q4 Opens
3
5
5
comments
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q4
73
comments
83
forecasters
Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026?
Sam Bankman-Fried
result:
Yes
Caroline Ellison
result:
Yes
Gary Wang
result:
Yes
2 others
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