On how many of the two trading days October 15–16, 2026 will US spot Bitcoin ETFs record a net daily inflow?1 days (0 - 2)248248 comments247247 forecastersResolved1 days
Will Zcash (ZEC) be ranked in the top 10 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization on CoinGecko on October 15, 2026?result: yes249249 comments247247 forecastersResolvedYes
Before 2030, will a foundation-model-based AI system make $50M in realized profits from not more than $1M of traditional investments and trades?60% chance55 comments3030 forecasters60%chance
Will Zcash (ZEC) be a top-10 cryptocurrency by market cap on September 18, 2026?result: yes165165 comments172172 forecastersResolvedYes
Will the United Kingdom's long-term credit rating be downgraded below an A grade by 1 January 2030?20% chance1066 comments2828 forecasters20%chance
Will online prediction markets cease to exist before 2100?0.5% chance-211 comment22 forecasters0.6%chance
Will the U.S. Treasury Issue BitBonds by December 31, 2028?48% chance11 comment1717 forecasters48%chance
Will the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield exceed 7% for at least 30 consecutive days before 2030?50% chance33 comments1313 forecasters50%chance
On December 31, 2027, in how many countries will courts have enforced a judgment based on a decentralized arbitration platform decision?133 comments6767 forecasters
Will the Brookmont Catastrophic Bond ETF drop at least $0.25 within two days before September 2026?result: no288 comments110110 forecastersResolvedNo
Before 2032, will a G7 central bank or finance ministry credit an AI forecasting system as a key reason for a major preemptive policy action to avert a potential economic crisis or instability?31% chance11212 comments102102 forecasters31%chance
Will the KBRA Middle Market Default Monitor rate by debt exceed 5.00% in any quarterly report published before 2029?81% chance11 comment33 forecasters81%chance
Will the Proskauer Private Credit Default Index report a quarterly default rate of >5% before 2029?25% chance11 comment44 forecasters25%chance
What will Hyperliquid's total open interest be on August 6, 2026?11 billion $ (9 - 12.5)11 comment130130 forecastersResolved10.73 billion $
Will AI Cause Human Extinction? Pro Forecasters Land at 7.5%. Our Most Dedicated X-Risk Forecasters Say 22%.322 comments
Will Alcor go bankrupt before any of their patients are revived?66% chance1622 comments5252 forecasters66%chance
Will a U.S. cabinet agency award a $100m firm benefit after a $1m expenditure to a group or cryptocurrency linked to the president in the following years?255 comments108108 forecasters
Will OpenAI either have a valuation of less than $200bn USD or have filed for bankruptcy before January 1, 2028?3% chance244 comments1717 forecasters3%chance
Which of BTC, ETH, BNB, and XRP will have the highest 7-day percentage price gain over the week ending June 28, 2026?9494 comments9595 forecasters
Before 2032, will we see an event precipitated by AI malfunction that causes at least 1000 deaths and/or at least $200B 2021 USD in economic damage?72% chance1455 comments5555 forecasters72%chance