Will Zcash (ZEC) be a top-10 cryptocurrency by market cap on September 18, 2026?62% chance0 comments172172 forecasters62%chance
Will OpenAI either have a valuation of less than $200bn USD or have filed for bankruptcy before January 1, 2028?5% chance244 comments1717 forecasters5%chance
Will there be a prominent platform for facilitating dominant assurance contracts before 2035?57% chance422 comments2323 forecasters57%chance
What will Hyperliquid's total open interest be on August 6, 2026?11 billion $ (9 - 12.5)11 comment130130 forecastersResolved10.73 billion $
Before 2032, will we see an event precipitated by AI malfunction that causes at least 1000 deaths and/or at least $200B 2021 USD in economic damage?40% chance1355 comments4545 forecasters40%chance
Will the Brookmont Catastrophic Bond ETF drop at least $0.25 within two days before September 2026?result: no288 comments110110 forecastersResolvedNo
Will the KBRA Middle Market Default Monitor rate by debt exceed 5.00% in any quarterly report published before 2029?81% chance11 comment33 forecasters81%chance
Will the Proskauer Private Credit Default Index report a quarterly default rate of >5% before 2029?57.5% chance11 comment22 forecasters57.5%chance
Will a U.S. cabinet agency award a $100m firm benefit after a $1m expenditure to a group or cryptocurrency linked to the president in the following years?255 comments102102 forecasters
By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?39% chance612323 comments425425 forecasters39%chance
Will federal legislation be passed before the 2026 midterm elections offering immunity to banks providing financial services to legal marijuana businesses?3% chance211 comment3737 forecasters3%chance
Will the Digital Commodities Consumer Protection Act (DCCPA) be passed before 2025?result: no71313 comments3333 forecastersResolvedNo
Will the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury notes exceed 5% for at least one month in 2025?3% chance11 comment66 forecasters3%chance
Which of BTC, ETH, BNB, and XRP will have the highest 7-day percentage price gain over the week ending June 28, 2026?9494 comments9595 forecasters
Will any single 24-hour period between June 25 and June 28, 2026 see total crypto liquidations exceeding $1 billion, per CoinGlass?result: yes11 comment9494 forecastersResolvedYes
What volatility will BTC realize from January 1, 2025 to December 31, 2026?2.43% (2.21 - 2.75)588 comments2929 forecasters2.43% (2.21 - 2.75)
Will the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield exceed 7% for at least 30 consecutive days before 2030?50% chance33 comments1212 forecasters50%chance
Will Polymarket "Holding Rewards" rate fall below 4% before 2028?result: yes44 comments1111 forecastersResolvedYes
Will the market capitalization for USDT & USDC stablecoins surpass $300 billion USD by June 30, 2026?result: no55 comments2626 forecastersResolvedNo
On December 31, 2027, in how many countries will courts have enforced a judgment based on a decentralized arbitration platform decision?133 comments6161 forecasters