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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Will Circle be publicly-traded before July 1, 2025?

resultYes

Contributed by the Adjacent community.

Will the market capitalization for USDT & USDC stablecoins surpass $300 billion USD by June 30, 2026?

70%chance
20% this week

Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025?

ARES2%
COINresult: Yes
MSTR1%
and 1 other

Metaculus and Markets: What’s the Difference?

6
no comments0

A Case for Nuanced Risk Assessment

10
1 comment1
Metaculus Journal Archives

If Tether (USDT) breaks its peg with the U.S. dollar by June 1, 2025, when would this happen?

Ambiguous

Will Coinbase file for bankruptcy protection before 2024?

resultNo

How many months in prison will Sam Bankman-Fried be sentenced to before 2026?

299
months

Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026?

Sam Bankman-Friedresult: Yes
Caroline Ellisonresult: Yes
Gary Wangresult: Yes
and 2 others

Will federal legislation be passed before the 2026 midterm elections offering immunity to banks providing financial services to legal marijuana businesses?

10%chance