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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
21 comments
74 forecasters

Will these countries obtain a nuclear weapon before 2030?

South Korea3%
Saudi Arabia2%
Japan1%
10 comments
14 forecasters

When will the following countries no longer be classified as being in a state of civil war?

00
52 comments
283 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?

10%chance
1 comment
49 forecasters

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that Russia will not invade a NATO member by June 10, 2040?

77%chance
0 comments
16 forecasters

Will the EU suspend visa liberalisation for Georgia before March 2026?

35%chance
82 comments
161 forecasters

Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?

Syria80%
Haiti74%
Mali62.5%
23 comments
169 forecasters

Will Russia's total territory decrease by at least 20% before 2028?

1%chance
20 comments
76 forecasters

Will China attempt to seize any region of Russia before 2046?

12%chance

Key Factors

11 comments
55 forecasters

Will an armed conflict between Greece and/or Turkey and/or Cyprus cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2035?

3%chance
7 comments
28 forecasters

Will non-compliance with environmental and climate change policies be cited as a cause of a war before 2073?

33%chance