Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
🗳️
US Democracy Index
❓
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
📈
Indexes
💎
Metaculus Cup
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
21
comments
74
forecasters
Will these countries obtain a nuclear weapon before 2030?
South Korea
3%
Saudi Arabia
2%
Japan
1%
6 others
10
comments
14
forecasters
When will the following countries no longer be classified as being in a state of civil war?
00
52
comments
283
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?
10%
chance
1
comment
49
forecasters
Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that Russia will not invade a NATO member by June 10, 2040?
77%
chance
0
comments
16
forecasters
Will the EU suspend visa liberalisation for Georgia before March 2026?
35%
chance
82
comments
161
forecasters
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Syria
80%
Haiti
74%
Mali
62.5%
70 others
23
comments
169
forecasters
Will Russia's total territory decrease by at least 20% before 2028?
1%
chance
20
comments
76
forecasters
Will China attempt to seize any region of Russia before 2046?
12%
chance
Key Factors
China needs water. Russia's Lake Baikal holds 20% of global surface fresh water.
11
comments
55
forecasters
Will an armed conflict between Greece and/or Turkey and/or Cyprus cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2035?
3%
chance
7
comments
28
forecasters
Will non-compliance with environmental and climate change policies be cited as a cause of a war before 2073?
33%
chance
Load More