21 comments
73 forecasters
Will these countries obtain a nuclear weapon before 2030?
South Korea3%
Taiwan1%
Saudi ArabiaAnnulled
0 comments
16 forecasters
Will the EU suspend visa liberalisation for Georgia before March 2026?
35%chance
10 comments
14 forecasters
When will the following countries no longer be classified as being in a state of civil war?
0082 comments
159 forecasters
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Syria80%
Haiti74%
Mali61%
23 comments
170 forecasters
Will Russia's total territory decrease by at least 20% before 2028?
1%chance
1 comment
50 forecasters
Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that Russia will not invade a NATO member by June 10, 2040?
75%chance
