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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
20 comments
76 forecasters

Will China attempt to seize any region of Russia before 2046?

12%chance
21 comments
73 forecasters

Will these countries obtain a nuclear weapon before 2030?

South Korea3%
Saudi Arabia2%
Ukraine1%
7 comments
28 forecasters

Will non-compliance with environmental and climate change policies be cited as a cause of a war before 2073?

33%chance
8% this week
1 comment
50 forecasters

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that Russia will not invade a NATO member by June 10, 2040?

76%chance
6% this week
52 comments
279 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?

10%chance
0 comments
13 forecasters

Will the EU suspend visa liberalisation for Georgia before March 2026?

35%chance
10 comments
14 forecasters

When will the following countries no longer be classified as being in a state of civil war?

00
23 comments
170 forecasters

Will Russia's total territory decrease by at least 20% before 2028?

1%chance
82 comments
159 forecasters

Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?

Syria80%
Haiti72%
Mali62%
43 comments
65 forecasters

Which country will be the first to administer more territory off Earth than on it?

United States51%
China35%
Israel10%