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20
comments
76
forecasters
Will China attempt to seize any region of Russia before 2046?
12%
chance
21
comments
73
forecasters
Will these countries obtain a nuclear weapon before 2030?
South Korea
3%
Saudi Arabia
2%
Ukraine
1%
6 others
7
comments
28
forecasters
Will non-compliance with environmental and climate change policies be cited as a cause of a war before 2073?
33%
chance
8%
this week
1
comment
50
forecasters
Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that Russia will not invade a NATO member by June 10, 2040?
76%
chance
6%
this week
52
comments
279
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?
10%
chance
0
comments
13
forecasters
Will the EU suspend visa liberalisation for Georgia before March 2026?
35%
chance
10
comments
14
forecasters
When will the following countries no longer be classified as being in a state of civil war?
00
23
comments
170
forecasters
Will Russia's total territory decrease by at least 20% before 2028?
1%
chance
82
comments
159
forecasters
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Syria
80%
Haiti
72%
Mali
62%
70 others
43
comments
65
forecasters
Which country will be the first to administer more territory off Earth than on it?
United States
51%
China
35%
Israel
10%
6 others
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