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Will third countries directly intervene in the Israel-Gaza War before July 2024?

IranAnnulled

LebanonAnnulled

Saudi ArabiaAnnulled

18 comments

53 forecasters

Will any two countries out of the US, UK, Germany, Canada, France, or Australia curtail diplomatic ties with Israel before 2025, citing Israel’s military actions in Gaza?

resultNo

52 comments

29 forecasters

Will any two countries out of the US, UK, Germany, Canada, France, or Australia curtail diplomatic ties with Israel before 2025, citing Israel’s military actions in Gaza?

resultNo

27 comments

168 forecasters

Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution before 2030?

10%chance

24 comments

135 forecasters

Will at least one of Egypt, Jordan, or Lebanon be at war with Israel on May 31, 2024?

resultNo

8 comments

1.2k forecasters

Will Israel establish direct governmental control of the Gaza Strip in 2025?

4%chance

3 comments

81 forecasters

Will any new country attack Israel or Iran between June and December 2025?

9%chance

condition

27 forecasters

Conditional Cup

condition

Netanyahu PM Through 2024?

Israel-Hezbollah: 1000 deaths before 2025?

98%

Resolved:Yes

Israel-Hezbollah: 1000 deaths before 2025?

28 forecasters

14 forecasters

Will third countries directly intervene in the Israel-Gaza War before July 2024?

Will any two countries out of the US, UK, Germany, Canada, France, or Australia curtail diplomatic ties with Israel before 2025, citing Israel’s military actions in Gaza?

Will any two countries out of the US, UK, Germany, Canada, France, or Australia curtail diplomatic ties with Israel before 2025, citing Israel’s military actions in Gaza?

Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution before 2030?

Will at least one of Egypt, Jordan, or Lebanon be at war with Israel on May 31, 2024?

Will Israel establish direct governmental control of the Gaza Strip in 2025?

Will any new country attack Israel or Iran between June and December 2025?

Israel to Invade Lebanon?

Israel-Hezbollah: 1000 deaths before 2025?

Israel-Hezbollah: 1000 deaths before 2025?

Netanyahu PM Through 2024?

Israel-Hezbollah: 1000 deaths before 2025?

Israel-Hezbollah: 1000 deaths before 2025?

When will the following countries no longer be classified as being in a state of civil war?

Will third countries directly intervene in the Israel-Gaza War before July 2024?

Will any two countries out of the US, UK, Germany, Canada, France, or Australia curtail diplomatic ties with Israel before 2025, citing Israel’s military actions in Gaza?

Will any two countries out of the US, UK, Germany, Canada, France, or Australia curtail diplomatic ties with Israel before 2025, citing Israel’s military actions in Gaza?

Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution before 2030?

Will at least one of Egypt, Jordan, or Lebanon be at war with Israel on May 31, 2024?

Will Israel establish direct governmental control of the Gaza Strip in 2025?

Will any new country attack Israel or Iran between June and December 2025?

Israel to Invade Lebanon?

Israel-Hezbollah: 1000 deaths before 2025?

Israel-Hezbollah: 1000 deaths before 2025?

Netanyahu PM Through 2024?

Israel-Hezbollah: 1000 deaths before 2025?

Israel-Hezbollah: 1000 deaths before 2025?

When will the following countries no longer be classified as being in a state of civil war?