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0
comments
84
forecasters
Will the community prediction be higher than 9.10% on 2025-09-27 for the Metaculus question "Will any new country attack Israel or Iran between June and December 2025?"?
35%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
3
comments
58
forecasters
Will there be a fatal clash between the military forces of the United States and Venezuela before November 1, 2025?
11%
chance
29%
this week
4
comments
33
forecasters
Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?
30%
chance
15%
this week
8
comments
Will Poland and Ukraine settle the Przewodów incident before 2024?
Annulled
24
comments
93
forecasters
Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?
10%
chance
5%
this week
155
comments
341
forecasters
When will there be a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict?
Current estimate
09 Nov 2026
1
comment
8
forecasters
Will China and India ratify a bilateral treaty addressing territorial boundaries between the two nations before 2029?
61%
chance
53
comments
50
forecasters
Will Goma be under the control of the Democratic Republic of the Congo on August 25, 2025?
Annulled
32
comments
95
forecasters
Will third countries directly intervene in the Israel-Gaza War before July 2024?
Iran
Annulled
Lebanon
Annulled
Saudi Arabia
Annulled
9 others
condition
US is a NATO Member until 2029?
31
forecasters
if yes
if no
US-China war before 2035?
20%
20%
US-China war before 2035?
15%
15%
4
0
comments
31
31
forecasters
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