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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
0 comments
107 forecasters

Will conflict between Thailand and Cambodia result in 500 deaths from March 28 to December 31, 2025?

7%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
17 forecasters

Will there be a fatal clash between the military forces of the United States and Venezuela before March 1, 2026?

66.7%chance
6.7% this week
0 comments
97 forecasters

Will a new war or a substantial escalation to a previous war kill at least 5,000 people in 2025?

20%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

condition

Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?

5 forecasters
if yes
if no

Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026?

38%
38%

Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026?

28%
28%
11 comment
5
5 forecasters
5 comments
100 forecasters

Will there be United Nations peacekeeping troops in Gaza on May 31, 2024?

resultNo
0 comments
98 forecasters

Will any new country attack Israel or Iran between June and December 2025?

15%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

5 comments
11 forecasters

Will SAF and RSF delegations both physically attend the same peace negotiation venue before December 31, 2025?

8%chance
35 comments
108 forecasters

Will Israel invade Lebanon before January 1, 2025?

resultYes
11 comments
84 forecasters

Will the Cambodia-Thailand conflict result in ⩾20 deaths between October 1 and December 15, 2025?

4%chance

Key Factors

9 comments
111 forecasters

Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?

Iran50%
Saudi Arabia15%
South Korea10%