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0 comments
92 forecasters

Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine or Ukrainian-held territory before 2026?

5%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
107 forecasters

Will conflict between Thailand and Cambodia result in 500 deaths from March 28 to December 31, 2025?

7%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
97 forecasters

Will a new war or a substantial escalation to a previous war kill at least 5,000 people in 2025?

20%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

condition

Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?

4 forecasters
if yes
if no

Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026?

34%
34%

Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026?

28%
28%
11 comment
4
4 forecasters
2 comments
21 forecasters

Will Zelenskyy Swap Territory/Cede Land to End the War?

20%chance
5 comments
68 forecasters

Will France announce a nuclear deterrent extension agreement with a European country before December 16, 2025?

7%chance
3% this week
8 comments

Will Poland and Ukraine settle the Przewodów incident before 2024?

Annulled
15 comments
196 forecasters

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

2%chance
9 comments
70 forecasters

Will the Cambodia-Thailand conflict result in ⩾20 deaths between October 1 and December 15, 2025?

9%chance
32 comments
95 forecasters

Will third countries directly intervene in the Israel-Gaza War before July 2024?

IranAnnulled
LebanonAnnulled
Saudi ArabiaAnnulled