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10
comments
27
forecasters
What will be the minimum price (in 2021 USD) to clone a pet dog in 2030?
Current estimate
13.2k $
21
comments
404
forecasters
By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?
33%
chance
A Global Catastrophe This Century
24
2
2
comments
Metaculus Journal Archives
27
comments
225
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?
23%
chance
3
comments
5
forecasters
How many doctorates will be awarded in various fields in 2031?
Engineering
10.4k
Computer Science
1524
Physics
548
9 others
🔬FRO-Casting to Support a New Research Model
10
6
6
comments
FRO-casting
23
comments
95
forecasters
Will a major cryptid discovery be made by 2040?
2.5%
chance
10
comments
164
forecasters
Drake's Equation 5th Parameter f_i: On what fraction of habitable planets with life does intelligence evolve?
Current estimate
3.73×10⁻⁴%
7
comments
39
forecasters
Will a senolytic therapy for a companion animal be commercially available before one for humans?
70%
chance
Ragnarök Series—results so far
31
34
34
comments
Ragnarök Series
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