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Contributed by the Meercast's Community Page community.

0 comments
1 forecaster

What Percentage Of US Farms Will Be Reported To Have Used Precision Agriculture For Crops or Livestock By Aug. 2027?

Current estimate
21 % of Farms
1 comment
16 forecasters

Will an international organization release a report estimating that space-based technologies have contributed to a 5% or greater increase in agricultural yields in any country before 2031?

65%chance
0 comments
28 forecasters

Will an epidemic or agroterrorist attack on US agriculture cause at least $20 billion (2021 USD) in damage by 2040?

27%chance

Contributed by the David Mathers' Community community.

0 comments
10 forecasters

Will AGI-caused economic growth lead to lab-grown meat pushing out factory farming?

22%chance
condition

2030: $10M for plant data citizen science

1 forecaster
if yes
if no

2035: plant farm use DB >25% species?

43%
43%

2035: plant farm use DB >25% species?

22%
22%
11 comment
1
1 forecaster
Synthetic Biology at Scale
condition

US Hyperinflation Before 2050

9 forecasters
if yes
if no

10% agricul. drop leading to >400M fatalities

17%
17%

10% agricul. drop leading to >400M fatalities

11%
11%
1
0 comments
9
9 forecasters
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
7 comments
21 forecasters

Will agriculture, forestry, and fishing add at least 5% of value to world GDP before 2030?

26%chance
17 comments
123 forecasters

Will commercial farming of cows, pigs and chickens for meat be prohibited in the US before 2041?

1%chance
3 comments
39 forecasters

Will the three-year average of livestock production subsidies fall below $150M/year by 2030?

20%chance

Biosecurity Vulnerabilities of American Food Supply

7
0 comments
Metaculus Journal Archives