What will India's total meat production per capita be during 2026-2027?7.76 kg per capita (7.66 - 7.88)111 comment4141 forecasters7.76 kg per capita (7.66 - 7.88)
Does $100k to fund cultured meat development have a greater animal welfare benefit than $100k to corporate animal welfare campaigns for chickens?33.5% chance0 comments33 forecasters33.5%chance
How many commercial cattle, in millions, will be slaughtered in the U.S. in 2032 if the lowest retail price of clean meat in 2026 is between $8 and $20 per kg?30.8 million (26.4 - 35.1)677 comments3636 forecasters30.8 million (26.4 - 35.1)
When will at least 5 cultivated meat products be approved for sale in the US?06 Mar 2027 (20 Mar 2026 - 05 Aug 2028)81616 comments6969 forecasters06 Mar 2027 (20 Mar 2026 - 05 Aug 2028)
If the price of the highest-quality hamburger-imitating plant products fell by 10% everywhere, how many more/fewer chickens would be consumed globally in the year 2030 (as a +/- percent)?0 comments
What Percentage Of US Farms Will Be Reported To Have Used Precision Agriculture For Crops or Livestock By Aug. 2027?21 % of Farms (16.6 - 26.1)0 comments11 forecaster21 % of Farms (16.6 - 26.1)
How many American state ballots will have a factory farm ban on them by the end of 2030 due to Pro-Animal Future?0 comments11 forecaster
Will AGI-caused economic growth lead to lab-grown meat pushing out factory farming?22% chance10 comments99 forecasters22%chance
Five years after AGI, how many animals will be slaughtered in factory farms?81.8B billion animals (49.4B - 105B)41010 comments2222 forecasters81.8B billion animals (49.4B - 105B)
Will agriculture, forestry, and fishing add at least 5% of value to world GDP before 2030?26% chance877 comments2323 forecasters26%chance
How many thousand cattle will be slaughtered in Australia in Q4 2020?1859 (1764 - 1937)41212 comments3333 forecastersResolved1562.7
Will an epidemic or agroterrorist attack on US agriculture cause at least $20 billion (2021 USD) in damage by 2040?20% chance20 comments2828 forecasters20%chance
When will a biological attack against crops or livestock result in at least 100 deaths or $1 billion (2021 USD) in damages?Sep 2045 (Dec 2031 - Apr 2067)522 comments1515 forecastersSep 2045 (Dec 2031 - Apr 2067)
Will commercial farming of cows, pigs and chickens for meat be prohibited in the US before 2041?1% chance71717 comments126126 forecasters1%chance
When will the number of Concentrated Animal Feeding Operations in the US have declined by 90% relative to 2020 levels?Jan 2061 (Oct 2048 - >Dec 2070)344 comments1414 forecastersJan 2061 (Oct 2048 - >Dec 2070)
Will there be a 50% decline in global meat production by 2040?12% chance172828 comments121121 forecasters12%chance
Will any top 10 global meat processor/producer go bankrupt before 2028?20% chance733 comments6363 forecasters20%chance
Will the three-year average of livestock production subsidies fall below $150M/year before 2030?19% chance333 comments3939 forecasters19%chance
How much will US livestock production be subsidized, on average, in over the 2021-22 period?Annulled41111 comments3434 forecastersAnnulled