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Contributed by the Adjacent community.

1 comment
3 forecasters

What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?

Other Renewables (e.g., solar, wind, biomass)26.8%
Oil26.2%
Natural Gas15.7%
6 comments
2 forecasters

Which of the following California oil refineries will first announce the intent to idle, restructure, or cease operations before 2028?

Valero (Wilmington)50%
Chevron (Richmond)9%
PBF Energy (Martinez)9%
1 comment
18 forecasters

Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?

SMEE44%
Naura35%
AMEC30%
5 comments
11 forecasters

What will net U.S. geothermal electricity production be in the year 2026, in GWh?

Current estimate
17.4k GWh

Contributed by the Foresight Institute community.

0 comments
10 forecasters

Will Puerto Rico's industrial sector be powered primarily by New Nuclear before 2040?

25%chance
1 comment
13 forecasters

Will the global methane output from the energy sector be at least 145 Mt for the year 2025?

61%chance
7 comments
31 forecasters

What will be the annual average retail electricity price (in 2022 US cents per kWh) in the United States in the following years?

5 comments
15 forecasters

Will the retail price of electricity in the US in 2030 be below 11 cents USD (2023 dollars)?

18%chance
6 comments
130 forecasters

What percent of the world's primary energy will come from fossil fuels in the following years?

condition

US 2030 Electricity Below 11 cents per kWh?

3 forecasters
if yes
if no

US Electric Vehicle Sales Share >35% in 2030?

67%
67%

US Electric Vehicle Sales Share >35% in 2030?

25%
25%
55 comments
3
3 forecasters