Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
🗳️
US Democracy Index
❓
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
📈
Indexes
💎
Metaculus Cup
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
Contributed by the
Adjacent
community.
1
comment
3
forecasters
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?
Other Renewables (e.g., solar, wind, biomass)
26.8%
Oil
26.2%
Natural Gas
15.7%
3 others
31%
6
comments
2
forecasters
Which of the following California oil refineries will first announce the intent to idle, restructure, or cease operations before 2028?
Valero (Wilmington)
50%
Chevron (Richmond)
9%
PBF Energy (Martinez)
9%
4 others
32%
1
comment
18
forecasters
Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?
SMEE
44%
Naura
35%
AMEC
30%
1 other
5
comments
11
forecasters
What will net U.S. geothermal electricity production be in the year 2026, in GWh?
Current estimate
17.4k GWh
Contributed by the
Foresight Institute
community.
0
comments
10
forecasters
Will Puerto Rico's industrial sector be powered primarily by New Nuclear before 2040?
25%
chance
1
comment
13
forecasters
Will the global methane output from the energy sector be at least 145 Mt for the year 2025?
61%
chance
7
comments
31
forecasters
What will be the annual average retail electricity price (in 2022 US cents per kWh) in the United States in the following years?
5
comments
15
forecasters
Will the retail price of electricity in the US in 2030 be below 11 cents USD (2023 dollars)?
18%
chance
6
comments
130
forecasters
What percent of the world's primary energy will come from fossil fuels in the following years?
condition
US 2030 Electricity Below 11 cents per kWh?
3
forecasters
if yes
if no
US Electric Vehicle Sales Share >35% in 2030?
67%
67%
US Electric Vehicle Sales Share >35% in 2030?
25%
25%
5
5
comments
3
3
forecasters
Load More