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Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?

SMEE44%

Naura31%

AMEC30%

7 comments

31 forecasters

What will be the annual average retail electricity price (in 2022 US cents per kWh) in the United States in the following years?

5 comments

15 forecasters

Will the retail price of electricity in the US in 2030 be below 11 cents USD (2023 dollars)?

18%chance

5 comments

11 forecasters

What will net U.S. geothermal electricity production be in the year 2026, in GWh?

Current estimate

17.4k GWh

6 comments

2 forecasters

Which of the following California oil refineries will first announce the intent to idle, restructure, or cease operations before 2028?

Valero (Wilmington)63.5%

PBF Energy (Martinez)8.5%

PBF Energy (Torrance)8.5%

6 comments

129 forecasters

What percent of the world's primary energy will come from fossil fuels in the following years?

condition

3 forecasters

0 comments

11 forecasters

Conditional on the US implementing NEPA reform, what will be the change in the energy transition metal index for December of 2027 relative to December 2020?

Law passed372

Law not passed228

Contributed by the Foresight Institute community.

0 comments

10 forecasters

Will Puerto Rico's industrial sector be powered primarily by New Nuclear before 2040?

25%chance

Contributed by the Adjacent community.

1 comment

3 forecasters

What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?

Other Renewables (e.g., solar, wind, biomass)26.8%

Oil26.2%

Natural Gas15.7%

Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?

What will be the annual average retail electricity price (in 2022 US cents per kWh) in the United States in the following years?

Will the retail price of electricity in the US in 2030 be below 11 cents USD (2023 dollars)?

What will net U.S. geothermal electricity production be in the year 2026, in GWh?

Which of the following California oil refineries will first announce the intent to idle, restructure, or cease operations before 2028?

What percent of the world's primary energy will come from fossil fuels in the following years?

US 2030 Electricity Below 11 cents per kWh?

US Electric Vehicle Sales Share >35% in 2030?

US Electric Vehicle Sales Share >35% in 2030?

Conditional on the US implementing NEPA reform, what will be the change in the energy transition metal index for December of 2027 relative to December 2020?

Will Puerto Rico's industrial sector be powered primarily by New Nuclear before 2040?

What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?

Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?

What will be the annual average retail electricity price (in 2022 US cents per kWh) in the United States in the following years?

Will the retail price of electricity in the US in 2030 be below 11 cents USD (2023 dollars)?

What will net U.S. geothermal electricity production be in the year 2026, in GWh?

Which of the following California oil refineries will first announce the intent to idle, restructure, or cease operations before 2028?

What percent of the world's primary energy will come from fossil fuels in the following years?

US 2030 Electricity Below 11 cents per kWh?

US Electric Vehicle Sales Share >35% in 2030?

US Electric Vehicle Sales Share >35% in 2030?

Conditional on the US implementing NEPA reform, what will be the change in the energy transition metal index for December of 2027 relative to December 2020?

Will Puerto Rico's industrial sector be powered primarily by New Nuclear before 2040?

What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?