• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
๐Ÿ’ฌ
Top Comments
๐Ÿ’ก
Comments Feed
๐Ÿ“ˆ
Indexes
๐Ÿ†
Leaderboards
โš™๏ธ
Labor Hub
๐Ÿฆพ
FutureEval
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
US Midterms
โš”๏ธ
Metaculus Cup
๐Ÿ’ฅ
Iran War
โ“
Top Questions
๐Ÿ—ž๏ธ
Current Events
๐Ÿ’ผ
Economy & Business
๐Ÿ›๏ธ
Politics
๐ŸŒ
Geopolitics
โš™๏ธ
Technology
๐Ÿค–
Artificial Intelligence
๐Ÿฆ 
Health & Pandemics
๐Ÿ’ป
Computing and Math
๐Ÿ—ณ๏ธ
Elections
๐Ÿ”ฌ
Natural Sciences
๐ŸŒฑ
Environment & Climate
๐Ÿ€
Sports & Entertainment
โš–๏ธ
Law
๐Ÿš€
Space
๐Ÿง‘โ€๐Ÿคโ€๐Ÿง‘
Social Sciences
๐Ÿ”ฎ
Metaculus
โ˜ข๏ธ
Nuclear Technology & Risks
๐Ÿ’ฐ
Cryptoยญcurrencies

Public Benefit Corporation

Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

ExploreQuestionsTournamentsTournaments for AI botsFutureEval
ServicesLaunch a TournamentPrivate InstancesPro Forecasters
CompanyAboutCareersFAQ
ResourcesForecasting ResourcesFor JournalistsAPI
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use

Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?

7
11 comment
24
24 forecasters

When will the following space agencies launch a crewed mission?

9
1717 comments
45
45 forecasters

What will be the proportion of orbital launches in 2030 for the following launcher categories?

5
22 comments
34
34 forecasters

What propulsion mechanism will launch a payload into space at a cost of < $100/kg first?

10
11 comment
26
26 forecasters

Which country will be the first to administer more territory off Earth than on it?

16
4343 comments
68
68 forecasters

To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers? Or something else?

result: no

27
1414 comments
132
132 forecasters
ResolvedNo

Space Sector โ€˜Greenificationโ€™

10
11 comment

Spacecraft Launchers and the Launcher Market

12
0 comments

Space Debris and the Kessler Syndrome

8
11 comment

The Future of Human Spaceflight

10
0 comments

Announcing the Sagan Space Tournament

19
1313 comments

Our Life Underneath a Chaotic Orbital Environment: The Relationship Between Space Debris and Space Utilization

11
0 comments

The Global Push to Return to the Moon: Predicting the Lunar Landings and Trends of the 2020s

10
0 comments

Private Citizen Space Travel: Participation, Place, and Price

8
0 comments