Will a Space-domain AMC acting outside its mandate cause 100 deaths or $5bn in damage within 5 years of one first being fielded by a G-20 state?26.5% chance1111 comments22 forecasters26.5%chance
Will a Space-domain AMC be employed in an irregular seizure or retention of power within five years of one first being fielded by a G-20 state?17.5% chance66 comments22 forecasters17.5%chance
Which country will be the first to administer more territory off Earth than on it?164343 comments7070 forecasters
What will be the proportion of orbital launches in 2030 for the following launcher categories?522 comments3939 forecasters
Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?711 comment2525 forecasters
What propulsion mechanism will launch a payload into space at a cost of < $100/kg first?1011 comment2626 forecasters
To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers? Or something else?result: no271414 comments132132 forecastersResolvedNo
Our Life Underneath a Chaotic Orbital Environment: The Relationship Between Space Debris and Space Utilization110 comments
The Global Push to Return to the Moon: Predicting the Lunar Landings and Trends of the 2020s100 comments