• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
❓
Top Questions
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
💎
Metaculus Cup
⏳
AI 2027
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
75 comments
140 forecasters

What will SpaceX be worth in 2030, in billions of nominal USD?

Current estimate
>125 billion $
2 comments
59 forecasters

Who will be the first group to land a human on Mars?

SpaceX65%
NASA25%
CNSA15%
1 comment
25 forecasters

What propulsion mechanism will launch a payload into space at a cost of < $100/kg first?

Conventional90.2%
Air-breathing2.1%
Thermal rockets1.2%
80 comments
621 forecasters

Will humans have a sustainable off-world presence by 2100?

40%chance
83 comments
114 forecasters

When will the following vehicles launch into orbit?

00
43 comments
65 forecasters

Which country will be the first to administer more territory off Earth than on it?

United States51%
China35%
Israel10%
11 comments
35 forecasters

When will the first O'Neill cylinder variant be completed?

Current estimate
2095
5 comments
7 forecasters

How much total space based solar PV (in GW) will be installed by the following years?

4 comments
23 forecasters

When will Varda successfully manufacture and sell its first product from space?

Current estimate
Sep 2031
2 comments
27 forecasters

What will be the proportion of orbital launches in 2030 for the following launcher categories?