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New Growth: Forecasting the Zero-Emission Vehicle Workforce

6
0 comments

How many people will be employed in the electric vehicle industry in the United States in the following years?

10
88 comments
33
33 forecasters

Will a legacy automaker go bankrupt before 2030?

55% chance

15
2424 comments
95
95 forecasters
55%chance

How many zero emission light vehicles will be available for under 40 thousand dollars (in 2022 US dollars) in the United States for the following model years?

8
1313 comments
36
36 forecasters

When will these degrees of self-driving car autonomy be developed and commercially available?

11
125125 comments
219
219 forecasters

When will autonomous flying vehicles be commercially available?

Sep 2031 (26 Mar 2028 - Sep 2037)

18
3939 comments
105
105 forecasters
Sep 2031
(26 Mar 2028 - Sep 2037)

How many vehicles will Tesla report producing in 2025?

1.77M vehicles (1.63M - 2.08M)

15
4949 comments
84
84 forecasters
Resolved1.654667M vehicles

Will a new land speed record be set by 2025?

result: no

10
1212 comments
92
92 forecasters
ResolvedNo

When will the first driverless cargo truck make a cross-USA trip?

09 Jun 2020 (Apr 2019 - 28 Nov 2021)

50
2323 comments
232
232 forecasters
Resolved01 Jan 2025 00:00 UTC

When will US auto manufacturing recover to 80% of pre-COVID-19 production levels?

02 Oct 2020 (20 Jul 2020 - 09 Dec 2021)

3
1414 comments
11
11 forecasters
Resolved07 Jul 2020 UTC

What percentage of vehicles on US roads will be fully electric in 2030?

8.53% (5.59 - 13.6)

21
4646 comments
127
127 forecasters
8.53%
(5.59 - 13.6)

New Metaculus EV and Cluster Question Ideas

2
44 comments

What Is the Future of American Financial Surveillance?

10
11 comment

Solar Power: Current Challenges, Encouraging Progress

12
0 comments