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18
comments
73
forecasters
Will a novel pathogen be identified as responsible for the pneumonia reported in Beijing or Liaoning before December 15, 2023?
result
No
condition
Novel Pathogen in China November 2023?
Resolved:
No
14
forecasters
if yes
if no
25M Killed by Pandemic 2022 to 2031
5%
5%
Resolved:
Annulled
25M Killed by Pandemic 2022 to 2031
4%
4%
3
0
comments
14
14
forecasters
Li Wenliang prize series
34
66
66
comments