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18 comments
73 forecasters

Will a novel pathogen be identified as responsible for the pneumonia reported in Beijing or Liaoning before December 15, 2023?

resultNo
condition

Novel Pathogen in China November 2023?

Resolved:No
14 forecasters
if yes
if no

25M Killed by Pandemic 2022 to 2031

5%
5%
Resolved:Annulled

25M Killed by Pandemic 2022 to 2031

4%
4%
3
0 comments
14
14 forecasters

Li Wenliang prize series

34
6666 comments