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2 comments
18 forecasters

Will we be able to tolerate a 5% physical error rate in quantum computing by 2032?

35.6%chance
9 comments
26 forecasters

What will be the mass in eV of the next fundamental particle to be discovered?

Current estimate
6.28T eV
18 comments
200 forecasters

Will gravitational waves from the merger of supermassive black holes be detected by November 30, 2027?

65%chance
5 comments
5 forecasters

When will a muon collider turn on with a center-of-mass beam energy ≥1 TeV?

Current estimate
Jan 2048
30 comments
42 forecasters

Will quantum effects be widely accepted as responsible for consciousness before 2075?

5%chance
4 comments
41 forecasters

Five years after AGI, will quantum gravity be solved?

14%chance
40 comments
14 forecasters

In what year will a physical object be teleported?

Current estimate
>2717
11 comments
31 forecasters

Do we live in a false vacuum?

50%chance
9 comments
21 forecasters

Will the results of the propellantless propulsion drive revealed by Dr. Charles Buhler and Exodus Propulsion Technologies replicate before July 1, 2025?

Annulled
11 comments
16 forecasters

Will the maximum speed of a human spacecraft reach at least 66,000 km/s (0.22 times the speed of light) by 2075?

13%chance