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10
comments
64
forecasters
Will most dark matter turn out to be primordial black holes?
5%
chance
6
comments
57
forecasters
Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?
result
No
12
comments
110
forecasters
Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?
result
No
11
comments
31
forecasters
Do we live in a false vacuum?
50%
chance
30
comments
42
forecasters
Will quantum effects be widely accepted as responsible for consciousness before 2075?
5%
chance
3
comments
80
forecasters
Will the XENON1T experiment report a detection of dark matter or other new physics before 2023?
result
No
2
comments
18
forecasters
Will we be able to tolerate a 5% physical error rate in quantum computing by 2032?
35.6%
chance
7
comments
47
forecasters
Will the (theoretical) existence of "dark matter hair" change the way we look for dark matter?
result
No
55
comments
564
forecasters
Will the Universe end?
65%
chance
4
comments
41
forecasters
Five years after AGI, will quantum gravity be solved?
14%
chance
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