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2
comments
18
forecasters
Will we be able to tolerate a 5% physical error rate in quantum computing by 2032?
35.6%
chance
9
comments
26
forecasters
What will be the mass in eV of the next fundamental particle to be discovered?
Current estimate
6.28T eV
18
comments
200
forecasters
Will gravitational waves from the merger of supermassive black holes be detected by November 30, 2027?
65%
chance
5
comments
5
forecasters
When will a muon collider turn on with a center-of-mass beam energy ≥1 TeV?
Current estimate
Jan 2048
30
comments
42
forecasters
Will quantum effects be widely accepted as responsible for consciousness before 2075?
5%
chance
4
comments
41
forecasters
Five years after AGI, will quantum gravity be solved?
14%
chance
40
comments
14
forecasters
In what year will a physical object be teleported?
Current estimate
>2717
11
comments
31
forecasters
Do we live in a false vacuum?
50%
chance
9
comments
21
forecasters
Will the results of the propellantless propulsion drive revealed by Dr. Charles Buhler and Exodus Propulsion Technologies replicate before July 1, 2025?
Annulled
11
comments
16
forecasters
Will the maximum speed of a human spacecraft reach at least 66,000 km/s (0.22 times the speed of light) by 2075?
13%
chance
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