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US Democracy Index

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Which party will win the most seats in the Dutch parliamentary elections of 2023?

NSCresult: No

VVDresult: No

PvdA-GLresult: No

8 comments

12 forecasters

Will a referendum on adopting the euro be officially announced in the Czech Republic before 2030?

22%chance

69 comments

134 forecasters

Which grouping will the Prime Minister of France belong to on December 31, 2025?

Together for the Republic62.3%

No Prime Minister14.3%

Other8%

39 comments

96 forecasters

Will there be a political protest with at least 600,000 participants in France before 2026?

15%chance

5 comments

68 forecasters

Will France announce a nuclear deterrent extension agreement with a European country before December 16, 2025?

5%chance

2% this week

5 comments

37 forecasters

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

30%chance

4 comments

18 forecasters

Before June 2027, will a top-level French official publicly state that France will adopt a Sixth Republic?

7%chance

4 comments

79 forecasters

Will Belarus become a EU candidate country before 2030?

0.1%chance

7 comments

63 forecasters

Will any country trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?

7%chance

5 comments

11 forecasters

Which party will win the most seats in the Dutch parliamentary elections of 2023?

Will a referendum on adopting the euro be officially announced in the Czech Republic before 2030?

Which grouping will the Prime Minister of France belong to on December 31, 2025?

Will there be a political protest with at least 600,000 participants in France before 2026?

Will France announce a nuclear deterrent extension agreement with a European country before December 16, 2025?

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

Before June 2027, will a top-level French official publicly state that France will adopt a Sixth Republic?

Will Belarus become a EU candidate country before 2030?

Will any country trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?

When will these countries adopt the Euro?

Which party will win the most seats in the Dutch parliamentary elections of 2023?

Will a referendum on adopting the euro be officially announced in the Czech Republic before 2030?

Which grouping will the Prime Minister of France belong to on December 31, 2025?

Will there be a political protest with at least 600,000 participants in France before 2026?

Will France announce a nuclear deterrent extension agreement with a European country before December 16, 2025?

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

Before June 2027, will a top-level French official publicly state that France will adopt a Sixth Republic?

Will Belarus become a EU candidate country before 2030?

Will any country trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?

When will these countries adopt the Euro?