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8 comments
13 forecasters

Will a referendum on adopting the euro be officially announced in the Czech Republic before 2030?

25%chance

Key Factors

39 comments
105 forecasters

Will there be a political protest with at least 600,000 participants in France before 2026?

4%chance
3% this week

Key Factors

5 comments
89 forecasters

Will France announce a nuclear deterrent extension agreement with a European country before December 16, 2025?

4%chance

Key Factors

5 comments
37 forecasters

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

30%chance

Key Factors

2 comments
38 forecasters

Will Fidesz-KDNP Maintain Its EU Plurality from Hungary in 2024?

resultYes
0 comments
1 forecaster

Will Fidesz-KDNP Maintain Its EU Plurality from Hungary in 2024?

Annulled
4 comments
16 forecasters

Before June 2027, will a top-level French official publicly state that France will adopt a Sixth Republic?

7%chance
2 comments
34 forecasters

Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections?

EPPresult: Yes
S&Dresult: No
IDresult: No
9 comments
28 forecasters

Which party will win the most seats in the Dutch parliamentary elections of 2023?

NSCresult: No
VVDresult: No
PvdA-GLresult: No
52 comments
27 forecasters

When will each of these steps happen in Ukraine's EU accession process?

00