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6 comments
38 forecasters

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

30%chance

Key Factors

39 comments
113 forecasters

Will there be a political protest with at least 600,000 participants in France before 2026?

6%chance
2% this week

Key Factors

8 comments
13 forecasters

Will a referendum on adopting the euro be officially announced in the Czech Republic before 2030?

25%chance

Key Factors

5 comments
93 forecasters

Will France announce a nuclear deterrent extension agreement with a European country before December 16, 2025?

3%chance

Key Factors

2 comments
38 forecasters

Will Fidesz-KDNP Maintain Its EU Plurality from Hungary in 2024?

resultYes
0 comments
1 forecaster

Will Fidesz-KDNP Maintain Its EU Plurality from Hungary in 2024?

Annulled
4 comments
17 forecasters

Before June 2027, will a top-level French official publicly state that France will adopt a Sixth Republic?

6.8%chance
5 comments
48 forecasters

Will over 2/3 of EU member states recognize Palestinian statehood before July 2026?

50%chance
7 comments
64 forecasters

Will any country trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?

6%chance
2 comments
34 forecasters

Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections?

EPPresult: Yes
S&Dresult: No
IDresult: No