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5
comments
11
forecasters
When will these countries adopt the Euro?
00
4
comments
33
forecasters
Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?
30%
chance
10%
this week
5
comments
38
forecasters
Will over 2/3 of EU member states recognize Palestinian statehood before July 2026?
45%
chance
10%
this week
7
comments
33
forecasters
Which countries will be the subject of NATO action under Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if NATO takes Article 5 action before 2040?
United States
32%
Estonia
30%
Poland
30%
9 others
52
comments
93
forecasters
Will the following countries be part of the European Union in 2050?
Montenegro
96%
North Macedonia
87.5%
Albania
85%
17 others
0
comments
13
forecasters
Will the EU suspend visa liberalisation for Georgia before March 2026?
35%
chance
10
comments
64
forecasters
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in or above a European Union state before the following dates?
1
comment
50
forecasters
Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that Russia will not invade a NATO member by June 10, 2040?
76%
chance
2
comments
18
forecasters
Will there be a large-scale power outage in the Continental Europe synchronous grid affecting multiple countries before 2028?
42%
chance
13
comments
226
forecasters
Will the Eurozone collapse before 2030?
1%
chance
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