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39 comments
102 forecasters

Will there be a political protest with at least 600,000 participants in France before 2026?

14%chance

Key Factors

8 comments
12 forecasters

Will a referendum on adopting the euro be officially announced in the Czech Republic before 2030?

22%chance

Key Factors

5 comments
79 forecasters

Will France announce a nuclear deterrent extension agreement with a European country before December 16, 2025?

4%chance
3% this week

Key Factors

52 comments
93 forecasters

Will the following countries be part of the European Union in 2050?

Montenegro96%
North Macedonia87.5%
Albania85%
4 comments
18 forecasters

Before June 2027, will a top-level French official publicly state that France will adopt a Sixth Republic?

7%chance
5 comments
37 forecasters

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

30%chance

Key Factors

5 comments
11 forecasters

When will these countries adopt the Euro?

00
2 comments
34 forecasters

Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections?

EPPresult: Yes
S&Dresult: No
IDresult: No
4 comments
79 forecasters

Will Belarus become a EU candidate country before 2030?

0.1%chance
5 comments
47 forecasters

Will over 2/3 of EU member states recognize Palestinian statehood before July 2026?

50%chance