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4 comments
33 forecasters

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

30%chance
15% this week
5 comments
11 forecasters

When will these countries adopt the Euro?

00
5 comments
38 forecasters

Will over 2/3 of EU member states recognize Palestinian statehood before July 2026?

45%chance
5% this week

Contributed by the Odborný Predikční Tým community.

10 comments
8 forecasters

If there is a violent attack by an individual in the EU with 50 or more victims in the next 5 years, how likely is it that they will be followers of the ideology:

Islámský extremismus46.2%
Pravicový extremismus43%
Levicový a anarchistický extremismus6.4%
7 comments
36 forecasters

What will Poland's Economist Democracy Index be in 2030?

Current estimate
7.36
52 comments
93 forecasters

Will the following countries be part of the European Union in 2050?

Montenegro96%
North Macedonia87.5%
Albania85%
10 comments
64 forecasters

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in or above a European Union state before the following dates?

83 comments
79 forecasters

Will any members of the European Parliament resign before July 1, 2025?

resultNo
5 comments
70 forecasters

Democracy in Crisis: how many autocrats, strongmen and dictators in 2028?

Latest estimate
48

This question is closed for forecasting.

1 comment
50 forecasters

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that Russia will not invade a NATO member by June 10, 2040?

76%chance