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4
comments
33
forecasters
Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?
30%
chance
15%
this week
5
comments
11
forecasters
When will these countries adopt the Euro?
00
5
comments
38
forecasters
Will over 2/3 of EU member states recognize Palestinian statehood before July 2026?
45%
chance
5%
this week
Contributed by the
Odborný Predikční Tým
community.
10
comments
8
forecasters
If there is a violent attack by an individual in the EU with 50 or more victims in the next 5 years, how likely is it that they will be followers of the ideology:
Islámský extremismus
46.2%
Pravicový extremismus
43%
Levicový a anarchistický extremismus
6.4%
1 other
4%
7
comments
36
forecasters
What will Poland's Economist Democracy Index be in 2030?
Current estimate
7.36
52
comments
93
forecasters
Will the following countries be part of the European Union in 2050?
Montenegro
96%
North Macedonia
87.5%
Albania
85%
17 others
10
comments
64
forecasters
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in or above a European Union state before the following dates?
83
comments
79
forecasters
Will any members of the European Parliament resign before July 1, 2025?
result
No
5
comments
70
forecasters
Democracy in Crisis: how many autocrats, strongmen and dictators in 2028?
Latest estimate
48
This question is closed for forecasting.
1
comment
50
forecasters
Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that Russia will not invade a NATO member by June 10, 2040?
76%
chance
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