Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
🗳️
US Democracy Index
❓
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
📈
Indexes
💎
Metaculus Cup
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
39
comments
102
forecasters
Will there be a political protest with at least 600,000 participants in France before 2026?
14%
chance
Key Factors
Violence & Counting Accuracy
Bloquons Tout is a failure
Reporting basis: the Ministère de l’Intérieur et des Outre-mer prefer to report multi-site protests as different ones
8
comments
12
forecasters
Will a referendum on adopting the euro be officially announced in the Czech Republic before 2030?
22%
chance
Key Factors
EU dynamics – stronger integration pressures could trigger domestic pushback via referendum.
Legal framework – constitutional changes or special laws are needed to enable a referendum.
Public opinion – persistent skepticism may pressure politicians to promise a referendum.
5
comments
79
forecasters
Will France announce a nuclear deterrent extension agreement with a European country before December 16, 2025?
4%
chance
3%
this week
Key Factors
German stance
Fractured parliament and weak government in France
U.S. nuclear umbrella uncertainty
52
comments
93
forecasters
Will the following countries be part of the European Union in 2050?
Montenegro
96%
North Macedonia
87.5%
Albania
85%
17 others
4
comments
18
forecasters
Before June 2027, will a top-level French official publicly state that France will adopt a Sixth Republic?
7%
chance
5
comments
37
forecasters
Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?
30%
chance
Key Factors
Russian drones violated Polish airspace
5
comments
11
forecasters
When will these countries adopt the Euro?
00
2
comments
34
forecasters
Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections?
EPP
result:
Yes
S&D
result:
No
ID
result:
No
4 others
4
comments
79
forecasters
Will Belarus become a EU candidate country before 2030?
0.1%
chance
5
comments
47
forecasters
Will over 2/3 of EU member states recognize Palestinian statehood before July 2026?
50%
chance
Load More