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8 comments
13 forecasters

Will a referendum on adopting the euro be officially announced in the Czech Republic before 2030?

25%chance

Key Factors

5 comments
94 forecasters

Will France announce a nuclear deterrent extension agreement with a European country before December 16, 2025?

3%chance

Key Factors

5 comments
48 forecasters

Will over 2/3 of EU member states recognize Palestinian statehood before July 2026?

50%chance
7 comments
64 forecasters

Will any country trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?

6%chance
2 comments
34 forecasters

Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections?

EPPresult: Yes
S&Dresult: No
IDresult: No
67 comments
967 forecasters

Will any of Belgium, France, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, and/or Germany leave the EU before 2027?

0.3%chance
10 comments
66 forecasters

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in or above a European Union state before the following dates?

1 comment
12 forecasters

Will the UK join or create a youth mobility scheme with the EU before 2030?

90%chance
3 comments
33 forecasters

Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections?

EPPresult: Yes
S&Dresult: No
Renewresult: No
30 comments
40 forecasters

[Short fuse] Will there be a majority of "Yes" votes in the Moldovan European Union membership referendum?

resultYes