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5
comments
11
forecasters
When will these countries adopt the Euro?
00
5
comments
38
forecasters
Will over 2/3 of EU member states recognize Palestinian statehood before July 2026?
45%
chance
5%
this week
52
comments
93
forecasters
Will the following countries be part of the European Union in 2050?
Montenegro
96%
North Macedonia
87.5%
Albania
85%
17 others
10
comments
64
forecasters
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in or above a European Union state before the following dates?
1
comment
10
forecasters
Will the UK join or create a youth mobility scheme with the EU before 2030?
80%
chance
30
comments
40
forecasters
[Short fuse] Will there be a majority of "Yes" votes in the Moldovan European Union membership referendum?
result
Yes
2
comments
19
forecasters
[Short fuse] Will the Moldovan European Union membership referendum cross the turnout threshold to be valid?
result
Yes
7
comments
58
forecasters
Will any country trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?
10%
chance
67
comments
959
forecasters
Will any of Belgium, France, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, and/or Germany leave the EU before 2027?
0.3%
chance
3
comments
33
forecasters
Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections?
EPP
result:
Yes
S&D
result:
No
Renew
result:
No
4 others
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