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5 comments
11 forecasters

When will these countries adopt the Euro?

00
5 comments
38 forecasters

Will over 2/3 of EU member states recognize Palestinian statehood before July 2026?

45%chance
5% this week
52 comments
93 forecasters

Will the following countries be part of the European Union in 2050?

Montenegro96%
North Macedonia87.5%
Albania85%
10 comments
64 forecasters

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in or above a European Union state before the following dates?

1 comment
10 forecasters

Will the UK join or create a youth mobility scheme with the EU before 2030?

80%chance
30 comments
40 forecasters

[Short fuse] Will there be a majority of "Yes" votes in the Moldovan European Union membership referendum?

resultYes
2 comments
19 forecasters

[Short fuse] Will the Moldovan European Union membership referendum cross the turnout threshold to be valid?

resultYes
7 comments
58 forecasters

Will any country trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?

10%chance
67 comments
959 forecasters

Will any of Belgium, France, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, and/or Germany leave the EU before 2027?

0.3%chance
3 comments
33 forecasters

Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections?

EPPresult: Yes
S&Dresult: No
Renewresult: No