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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
7 comments
63 forecasters

Will any country trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?

7%chance
27 comments
54 forecasters

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that there will be no civil war in a European country (that wasn't communist in 1988) by 2046?

85%chance
25 comments
26 forecasters

Which alliance will form the 2024 EU Commission?

EPP + S&D + REAnnulled
EPP + S&D + RE + G/EFAAnnulled
EPP + S&D + G/EFAAnnulled
condition

War in Europe by 2153?

5 forecasters
if yes
if no

Date EU Ceases to Exist?

2105

Date EU Ceases to Exist?

2145
3
0 comments
5
5 forecasters
67 comments
967 forecasters

Will any of Belgium, France, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, and/or Germany leave the EU before 2027?

0.1%chance