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8
comments
12
forecasters
Will a referendum on adopting the euro be officially announced in the Czech Republic before 2030?
22%
chance
5
comments
68
forecasters
Will France announce a nuclear deterrent extension agreement with a European country before December 16, 2025?
5%
chance
2%
this week
7
comments
63
forecasters
Will any country trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?
7%
chance
5
comments
11
forecasters
When will these countries adopt the Euro?
00
2
comments
34
forecasters
Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections?
EPP
result:
Yes
S&D
result:
No
ID
result:
No
4 others
5
comments
47
forecasters
Will over 2/3 of EU member states recognize Palestinian statehood before July 2026?
51%
chance
3
comments
33
forecasters
Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections?
EPP
result:
Yes
S&D
result:
No
Renew
result:
No
4 others
27
comments
54
forecasters
Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that there will be no civil war in a European country (that wasn't communist in 1988) by 2046?
85%
chance
25
comments
26
forecasters
Which alliance will form the 2024 EU Commission?
EPP + S&D + RE
Annulled
EPP + S&D + RE + G/EFA
Annulled
EPP + S&D + G/EFA
Annulled
3 others
condition
Major State Exits EU before 2027?
2
forecasters
if yes
if no
Date EU Ceases to Exist?
Apr 2066
Date EU Ceases to Exist?
2077
2
3
3
comments
2
2
forecasters
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