• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
🗳️
US Democracy Index
❓
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
📈
Indexes
💎
Metaculus Cup
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
8 comments
13 forecasters

Will a referendum on adopting the euro be officially announced in the Czech Republic before 2030?

25%chance

Key Factors

5 comments
89 forecasters

Will France announce a nuclear deterrent extension agreement with a European country before December 16, 2025?

4%chance

Key Factors

2 comments
34 forecasters

Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections?

EPPresult: Yes
S&Dresult: No
IDresult: No
52 comments
93 forecasters

Will the following countries be part of the European Union in 2050?

Montenegro96%
North Macedonia87.5%
Albania85%
5 comments
48 forecasters

Will over 2/3 of EU member states recognize Palestinian statehood before July 2026?

50%chance
5 comments
11 forecasters

When will these countries adopt the Euro?

00
7 comments
64 forecasters

Will any country trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?

7%chance
28 comments
44 forecasters

Conditional on a EU country ceasing to be a democracy by 2070, will the regime change be by "the left" or by "the right"?

Latest estimate
97.4

This question is closed for forecasting.

3 comments
33 forecasters

Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections?

EPPresult: Yes
S&Dresult: No
Renewresult: No
27 comments
54 forecasters

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that there will be no civil war in a European country (that wasn't communist in 1988) by 2046?

85%chance