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8 comments
12 forecasters

Will a referendum on adopting the euro be officially announced in the Czech Republic before 2030?

22%chance
5 comments
68 forecasters

Will France announce a nuclear deterrent extension agreement with a European country before December 16, 2025?

5%chance
2% this week
7 comments
63 forecasters

Will any country trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?

7%chance
5 comments
11 forecasters

When will these countries adopt the Euro?

00
2 comments
34 forecasters

Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections?

EPPresult: Yes
S&Dresult: No
IDresult: No
5 comments
47 forecasters

Will over 2/3 of EU member states recognize Palestinian statehood before July 2026?

51%chance
3 comments
33 forecasters

Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections?

EPPresult: Yes
S&Dresult: No
Renewresult: No
27 comments
54 forecasters

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that there will be no civil war in a European country (that wasn't communist in 1988) by 2046?

85%chance
25 comments
26 forecasters

Which alliance will form the 2024 EU Commission?

EPP + S&D + REAnnulled
EPP + S&D + RE + G/EFAAnnulled
EPP + S&D + G/EFAAnnulled
condition

Major State Exits EU before 2027?

2 forecasters
if yes
if no

Date EU Ceases to Exist?

Apr 2066

Date EU Ceases to Exist?

2077
2
33 comments
2
2 forecasters