Will Blake Masters be President of the United States before 2070?0.5% chance21111 comments8282 forecasters0.5%chance
Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that real gross world product will not exceed 130% of its previous yearly peak for any single year by January 1, 2043?90% chance166 comments4848 forecasters90%chance
Will Robin Hanson win his bet against Matthew Barnett on whether ems will come before de novo AGI?1% chance162222 comments7676 forecasters1%chance
When will there be at least one billion Americans?>2120 (2114 - >2120)132828 comments6060 forecasters>2120 (2114 - >2120)