Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that real gross world product will not exceed 130% of its previous yearly peak for any single year by January 1, 2043?88% chance166 comments4949 forecasters88%chance
Will Blake Masters be President of the United States before 2070?1% chance21111 comments8484 forecasters1%chance
Will Robin Hanson win his bet against Matthew Barnett on whether ems will come before de novo AGI?1% chance162222 comments7575 forecasters1%chance
When will there be at least one billion Americans?>2120 (2114 - >2120)132828 comments5959 forecasters>2120 (2114 - >2120)