12 comments
31 forecasters
Will controlled AI chips be smuggled into China through any of the following countries before 2026?
Vietnam85%
Singaporeresult: Yes
Taiwan70%
82 comments
235 forecasters
If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Donald Trump (R)result: Yes
Kamala Harris (D)result: No
Gavin Newsom (D)Annulled
7 comments
15 forecasters
Will chips covered by the 2022 US export controls be exported to China before the following dates?
12 comments
33 forecasters
Will a prominent Democratic politician seek asylum abroad before January 20, 2029?
10%chance
18 comments
43 forecasters
Will the U.S. Congress pass legislation authorizing at least $50 billion to the semiconductor industry before May 1, 2022?
resultNo
