7 comments
123 forecasters
Will the US government acquire stock in any of the selected semicondunductor companies before 2026?
7%chance
7% this week
82 comments
235 forecasters
If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Donald Trump (R)result: Yes
Kamala Harris (D)result: No
Gavin Newsom (D)Annulled
7 comments
15 forecasters
Will chips covered by the 2022 US export controls be exported to China before the following dates?
12 comments
63 forecasters
Will controlled AI chips be smuggled into China through any of the following countries before 2026?
Vietnam85%
Singaporeresult: Yes
Taiwan70%
18 comments
43 forecasters
Will the U.S. Congress pass legislation authorizing at least $50 billion to the semiconductor industry before May 1, 2022?
resultNo
12 comments
35 forecasters
Will a prominent Democratic politician seek asylum abroad before January 20, 2029?
10%chance
