13 comments
35 forecasters
Will a prominent Democratic politician seek asylum abroad before January 20, 2029?
10%chance
82 comments
161 forecasters
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Syria80%
Haiti74%
Mali61%
5 comments
70 forecasters
Democracy in Crisis: how many autocrats, strongmen and dictators in 2028?
Latest estimate
48
This question is closed for forecasting.
3 comments
39 forecasters
Will the United States drop below a 7 in the Democracy index by 2040?
50%chance